Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luziania vs Santa Maria

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Maria in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Maria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Luziania
6%
Draws
4%
Santa Maria
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Luziania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Luziania lately — more wins on the board than Santa Maria.
  • Luziania are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Luziania Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Maria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luziania Santa Maria
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 2.25 0.17
Goals Conceded 1.13 4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2022 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Santa Maria
2:4
Apr 10, 2021 Brasiliense
Santa Maria vs Luziania
1:3
Feb 3, 2019 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Santa Maria
3:0
Jan 20, 2018 Brasiliense
Santa Maria vs Luziania
2:2
Mar 25, 2017 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Santa Maria
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luziania 85 / 100
Santa Maria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luziania Santa Maria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Maria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Santa Maria has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Luziania's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Luziania VS Santa Maria
2.25 Goals Scored 0.17
1.13 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Luziania

(Home)
11 Oct
Luziania
0 : 1
Planaltina
04 Oct
Luziania
2 : 0
Candango
27 Sept
Brasilia FC (DF)
2 : 1
Luziania
21 Sept
ARUC
0 : 0
Luziania
14 Sept
Luziania
0 : 0
Cruzeiro FC
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Santa Maria

(Away)
10 Mar
Capital
7 : 1
Santa Maria
03 Mar
Santa Maria
0 : 4
Planaltina
25 Feb
Real Brasilia
1 : 0
Santa Maria
18 Feb
Santa Maria
0 : 5
Gama
08 Feb
Paranoa
1 : 0
Santa Maria
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ceilandia961220:1219
2Capital953120:818
3Brasiliense951323:1216
4Gama943216:1315
5Santa Maria933315:1612
6Paranoa932413:1411
7Brasilia FC (DF)932412:1711
8Taguatinga924311:1710
9Unai EC923412:159
10Luziania90277:252
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2022 (Winners stage)