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Luziania vs Santa Maria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Maria in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Maria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Luziania
15%
Draws
0%
Santa Maria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luziania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Luziania at 1.28 per game, Santa Maria at 0.9.
  • Luziania are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Luziania Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Maria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luziania Santa Maria
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.28 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2022 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Santa Maria
2:4
Apr 10, 2021 Brasiliense
Santa Maria vs Luziania
1:3
Feb 3, 2019 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Santa Maria
3:0
Jan 20, 2018 Brasiliense
Santa Maria vs Luziania
2:2
Mar 25, 2017 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Santa Maria
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luziania 85 / 100
Santa Maria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luziania Santa Maria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luziania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Maria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Santa Maria has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Luziania's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Luziania VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luziania

(Home)
03 Oct
Taguatinga
2 : 0
Luziania
26 Sept
Canaa EC
2 : 1
Luziania
20 Sept
Luziania
0 : 6
Gremio Valparaiso
12 Sept
Legiao
0 : 0
Luziania
05 Sept
Luziania
2 : 1
Planaltina
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Santa Maria

(Away)
10 Mar
Capital
7 : 1
Santa Maria
03 Mar
Santa Maria
0 : 4
Planaltina
25 Feb
Real Brasilia
1 : 0
Santa Maria
18 Feb
Santa Maria
0 : 5
Gama
08 Feb
Paranoa
1 : 0
Santa Maria
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 9 6 1 2 20:12 19
2 Capital 9 5 3 1 20:8 18
3 Brasiliense 9 5 1 3 23:12 16
4 Gama 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
5 Santa Maria 9 3 3 3 15:16 12
6 Paranoa 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
7 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 3 2 4 12:17 11
8 Taguatinga 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
9 Unai EC 9 2 3 4 12:15 9
10 Luziania 9 0 2 7 7:25 2
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2022 (Winners stage)