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Stadium Background

Luziania vs Sobradinho

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Gomes W.
40' Event
Hitalo J.
78' Event
Pedro Felipe

AI Match Summary

Sobradinho in this Brasiliense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sobradinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Luziania
30%
Draws
41%
Sobradinho
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sobradinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sobradinho lately — more wins on the board than Luziania.
  • Luziania are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Luziania Clean Sheet 20%
Sobradinho Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luziania Sobradinho
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 8 19
Draws 7 9
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.29 2.12
Goals Conceded 1.65 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Luziania vs Sobradinho
1:2
Mar 6, 2021 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Luziania
0:1
Mar 14, 2020 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Luziania
1:4
Feb 23, 2019 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Sobradinho
3:0
Mar 14, 2018 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Luziania
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luziania Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Sobradinho Compare

Top Goalscorer Hitalo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro Felipe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luziania 49 / 100
Sobradinho 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luziania Sobradinho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luziania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luziania found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (34 games).

Sobradinho's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Luziania stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luziania VS Sobradinho
1.14 Goals Scored 1.63
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luziania

(Home)
11 Oct
Luziania
0 : 1
Planaltina
04 Oct
Luziania
2 : 0
Candango
27 Sept
Brasilia FC (DF)
2 : 1
Luziania
21 Sept
ARUC
0 : 0
Luziania
14 Sept
Luziania
0 : 0
Cruzeiro FC
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Sobradinho

(Away)
21 Mar
Gama
1 : 0
Sobradinho
15 Mar
Samambaia
0 : 1
Sobradinho
08 Mar
Sobradinho
0 : 0
Samambaia
28 Feb
Sobradinho
1 : 0
Brasilia FC (DF)
22 Feb
Samambaia
3 : 0
Sobradinho
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taguatinga 7 5 2 0 22:2 17
2 Sobradinho 7 4 3 0 29:5 15
3 SESP Brasilia 7 4 2 1 10:2 14
4 Legiao 7 4 1 2 16:3 13
5 Luziania 7 3 0 4 17:8 9
6 Gremio Valparaiso 7 3 0 4 8:21 9
7 Riacho City 7 1 0 6 6:40 3
8 Botafogo DF 7 0 0 7 3:30 0
Promotion - Brasiliense 2 2024 (Play Offs)