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Luzino vs Baltyk Koszalin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luzino host Baltyk Koszalin in the III Liga - Group II. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Luzino have averaged 2.38 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Baltyk Koszalin's 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.85 - 0.83) back Luzino to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Luzino
6%
Draws
4%
Baltyk Koszalin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Luzino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Baltyk Koszalin haven't matched Luzino's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Luzino a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Luzino Clean Sheet 20%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzino Baltyk Koszalin
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 1 5
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.38 0.67
Goals Conceded 1 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzino 85 / 100
Baltyk Koszalin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzino Baltyk Koszalin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Luzino scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Baltyk Koszalin let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Baltyk Koszalin's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Luzino has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Luzino VS Baltyk Koszalin
2.38 Goals Scored 0.67
1 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzino

(Home)
01 Aug
Kotwica Kornik
2 : 6
Luzino
18 Jul
Arka Gdynia
2 : 0
Luzino
11 Jul
Luzino
1 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
10 Jul
Luzino
0 : 2
Grom Nowy Staw
03 Jun
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 1
Luzino
Page 1 of 6

Baltyk Koszalin

(Away)
01 Aug
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 3
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
18 Jul
Swinoujscie
1 : 2
Baltyk Koszalin
25 Jan
Blekitni Stargard
4 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
23 Jul
Gryf Slupsk
3 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
18 Jun
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzino 1 1 0 0 6:2 3
2 Lech Poznan II 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
3 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
4 Gedania Gdansk 1 1 0 0 5:3 3
5 Unia Swarzedz 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
6 KKS Kalisz 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Chemik Bydgoszcz 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
8 Kluczevia Stargard 1 0 1 0 3:3 1
9 Elana Torun 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Blekitni Stargard 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Wda Swiecie 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Lipno Steszew 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 Grom Nowy Staw 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
14 Swinoujscie 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Notec Czarnkow 1 0 0 1 3:5 0
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
17 Baltyk Koszalin 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
18 Kotwica Kornik 1 0 0 1 2:6 0
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)