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Luzino vs Chemik Bydgoszcz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Weremko S.
60' Event
Perlinski P.
70' Event
Krefft J.

AI Match Summary

Luzino in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luzino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Luzino
35%
Draws
24%
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Luzino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Luzino lately — more wins on the board than Chemik Bydgoszcz.
  • Model gives Luzino a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Luzino Clean Sheet 17%
Chemik Bydgoszcz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzino Chemik Bydgoszcz
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 8
Draws 2 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.32 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Chemik Bydgoszcz
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luzino Compare

Top Goalscorer Weremko S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krefft J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Chemik Bydgoszcz Compare

Top Goalscorer Perlinski P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzino 84 / 100
Chemik Bydgoszcz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzino Chemik Bydgoszcz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzino found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Chemik Bydgoszcz has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Luzino went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luzino VS Chemik Bydgoszcz
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzino

(Home)
10 Oct
Luzino
3 : 0
Wda Swiecie
03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1
Luzino
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
Page 1 of 6

Chemik Bydgoszcz

(Away)
03 Oct
Lipno Steszew
0 : 1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3
Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1
KKS Kalisz
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2
Chemik Bydgoszcz
05 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 2
Baltyk Koszalin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
13 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
15 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)