Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lyngby vs Aarhus

Denmark Denmark

Superliga Lyngby Stadion, Kongens Lyngby
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lyngby host Aarhus in the Superliga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Aarhus have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Lyngby have conceded 1.25 and scored 2.13. Past meetings favor Aarhus slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 3, 2024, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.75, favoring Aarhus. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lyngby
33%
Draws
27%
Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lyngby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Aarhus haven't matched Lyngby's recent run of results.
  • Lyngby are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aarhus have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lyngby Clean Sheet 12%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyngby Aarhus
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 19 17
Draws 4 8
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2024 Superliga
Aarhus vs Lyngby
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 Superliga
Lyngby vs Aarhus
0:0
Oct 22, 2023 Superliga
Lyngby vs Aarhus
0:2
Aug 27, 2023 Superliga
Aarhus vs Lyngby
1:0
Oct 30, 2022 Superliga
Lyngby vs Aarhus
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyngby 38 / 100
Aarhus 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyngby Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LYN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lyngby's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aarhus conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Lyngby has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Lyngby VS Aarhus
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyngby

(Home)
18 Jul
Hillerod
0 : 1
Lyngby
10 Jul
Oster
0 : 3
Lyngby
04 Jul
Lyngby
6 : 3
Boldklubben 1893
31 May
Esbjerg
2 : 1
Lyngby
25 May
Lyngby
0 : 2
Horsens
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Aarhus

(Away)
21 Jul
Aarhus
1 : 4
Lech Poznan
15 Jul
Aarhus
2 : 0
Horsens
11 Jul
Royale Union SG
2 : 1
Aarhus
05 Jul
Aarhus
4 : 0
Motherwell
27 Jun
Aarhus
1 : 1
Viborg
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sonderjyske00000:00
2Silkeborg00000:00
3Aarhus00000:00
4Brondby00000:00
5FC Copenhagen00000:00
6Horsens00000:00
7Lyngby00000:00
8Midtjylland00000:00
9Nordsjaelland00000:00
10Odense00000:00
11Randers FC00000:00
12Viborg00000:00
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Superliga (Relegation Group)