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Lyon II vs Frejus Saint Raphael

France France

National 2 - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group C 2022/2023 game between Lyon II and Frejus Saint Raphael finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Frejus Saint Raphael.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Lyon II
15%
Draws
28%
Frejus Saint Raphael
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lyon II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Lyon II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Lyon II taking it.
  • Regular National 2 - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Lyon II Clean Sheet 68%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyon II Frejus Saint Raphael
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2023 National 1 - Group C
Lyon II vs Frejus Saint Raphael
2:3
Aug 20, 2022 National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Lyon II
2:0
Feb 19, 2022 National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Lyon II
2:0
Sep 4, 2021 National 1 - Group C
Lyon II vs Frejus Saint Raphael
3:0
Jun 5, 2021 National 1 - Group C
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Lyon II
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyon II 86 / 100
Frejus Saint Raphael 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyon II Frejus Saint Raphael

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lyon II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lyon II scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Frejus Saint Raphael's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Lyon II has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Frejus Saint Raphael
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyon II

(Home)
07 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 0
Lyon II
22 Apr
Fulham U21
0 : 2
Lyon II
11 Mar
Lyon II
3 : 0
Valencia B
03 Dec
West Ham U21
0 : 2
Lyon II
30 Oct
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1
Lyon II
Page 1 of 6

Frejus Saint Raphael

(Away)
03 Oct
Bourges 18
0 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4
GOAL FC
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 0
Andrezieux
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marignane GCB 30 16 8 6 37:23 56
2 Jura Sud 30 15 7 8 45:34 52
3 RC Grasse 30 14 9 7 49:33 51
4 Thonon-Evian 30 15 6 9 41:28 51
5 Lyon - La Duchere 30 15 6 9 46:33 51
6 Frejus Saint Raphael 30 11 12 7 32:25 45
7 Hyeres 30 11 9 10 40:33 42
8 Auxerre II 30 10 11 9 37:30 41
9 Toulon 30 11 5 14 38:41 38
10 Ales 30 11 10 9 41:36 38
11 Aubagne FC 30 9 10 11 39:46 37
12 Louhans Cuiseaux 30 9 9 12 45:47 36
13 Canet Roussillon 30 10 8 12 26:28 35
14 Lyon II 30 8 8 14 36:45 32
15 Saint Priest 30 6 11 13 38:45 29
16 Sete 30 3 3 24 23:86 12
Promotion - National 2023/2024 (Main)