Sport Picks
Match Events
30'
30'
Bentahar M.
40'
40'
Loubatieres M.
(Penalty)
87'
87'
Boughanmi I.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-1, with Lyon - La Duchere advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bastia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lyon - La Duchere carry the better recent record into this one.
- Bastia are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Lyon - La Duchere have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Lyon - La Duchere, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lyon - La Duchere Clean Sheet 20%
Bastia Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lyon - La Duchere | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 18, 2023 Coupe de France
Lyon - La Duchere vs Bastia
4:1
Apr 19, 2021 Ligue 3
Bastia vs Lyon - La Duchere
1:0
Nov 27, 2020 Ligue 3
Lyon - La Duchere vs Bastia
2:0
Mar 16, 2018 Ligue 3
Bastia vs Lyon - La Duchere
0:0
Oct 13, 2017 Ligue 3
Lyon - La Duchere vs Bastia
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lyon - La Duchere Compare
Top Goalscorer Boughanmi I.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bentahar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Bastia Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lyon - La Duchere 20 / 100
Bastia 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lyon - La Duchere Bastia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bastia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lyon - La Duchere found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Bastia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Lyon - La Duchere has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lyon - La Duchere VS Bastia
1.2 Goals Scored 1.25
2.8 Goals Conceded 1.63
80% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 25%
60% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lyon - La Duchere
(Home) 19 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 1 Toulon
12 Sept
Andrezieux
3 : 1 Lyon - La Duchere
05 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
0 : 1 Nimes
29 Aug
Saint Priest
2 : 1 Lyon - La Duchere
22 Aug
Lyon - La Duchere
1 : 7 Rumilly Vallieres
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 1 Toulon
05 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
0 : 1 Nimes
22 Aug
Lyon - La Duchere
1 : 7 Rumilly Vallieres
20 Dec
Lyon - La Duchere
1 : 2 Toulouse
29 Nov
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 1 Carnoux F.C.
Page 1 of 4
Bastia
(Away) 17 Sept
Bastia
1 : 1 Cannes
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1 Bastia
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3 Amiens SC
27 Aug
Caen
0 : 1 Bastia
20 Aug
Bastia
2 : 3 Versailles
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1 Bastia
27 Aug
Caen
0 : 1 Bastia
14 Aug
Aubagne FC
0 : 1 Bastia
24 Jul
Aubagne FC
1 : 1 Bastia
10 Jul
Rodez
5 : 3 Bastia
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Montlouis 0
Bergerac 4
Morlaas Est-Bearn 0
Panazol 1
Jeunesse Villenavaise 1
JA Isle 0
Aizenay 1
Libourne 2
Sarre Union 1
APM Metz 0
Colmar 0
Pontarlier 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Bleriot Plage 1
ASPTT Dijon 0
Camon 2
Chambly 5
Villers Houlgate 4
Equeurd Hainnev 0
Laon US 1
Racing Club de France 2
Lille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Samaritaine 0
Golden Lion 1
Le Quesnoy 1
Troyenne 4
Metz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clermont -
US Noeux Les Mines 2
Avoine 3
Le Geldar 3
Agouado 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Stade Briochin 4
Concarneau 3
Les Herbiers 2
Avranches 1
Douvres 2
Choisy Au Bac 1
Chateauroux 2
Red Star 1
Le Havre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RC Calais 2
Longueau 1
Loon Plage 0
Caen 3
Macon 1
Louhans Cuiseaux 2
Cosne US 1
Chantilly 0
Pontivy 2
Plougastel 0
Stade Pontivyen 1
Rouen 2
Chambery 1
De Volvic 0
Villefranche 1
Grenoble 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Paimpol 2
Flers 1
Plabennec 1
Challans 2
Stade Mayennais 1
Aunis Avenir 0
Liffre 0
Rodez 3
Lens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Hauts Lyonnais 2
Neuville 0
Feurs 2
Espaly 1
Roche Saint-Genest 1
Saint Priest 2
Limonest 0
Domerat 1
Stade Poitevin 0
US Castanet 3
Auch 0
Romorantin 4
Moulien 3
Baie Mahault 1
Torcy 0
Fleury-Merogis 1
Jarville 2
Sarreguemines 4
Villerupt Thil 0
Biesheim 2
Mulhouse 2
Jura Dolois 1
Haguenau 0
Valenciennes 2
Velay 1
Martigues 3
Ales 6
Rosador 1
Villejuif 2
Paris FC 3
Tamponnaise 2
Saint-Denis 3
Toulouse Metropole 1
AC Ajaccio 4
Lavernose Lherm 0
Orleans 4
Bourg Peronnas 0
St Etienne 3
Roannais 1
Nimes 3
Guerande St. Aubin 0
US Revel 3
Blagnac 1
Bayonne 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
AS-Fabregues 3
Valincu 2
Cannes 2
Bourgoin Jallieu 1
Bassin d'Arcachon 2
Saumur Olympique 1
Etoile Maritime 2
Trelissac 3
Brest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plessis Robinson 2
Brissac 1
Houilles 0
Angers 2
Itancourt Neuville 3
IC Croix 2
FC Bondues 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Montdidier 0
Quevilly 4
Doullens 0
Dijon 6
Schweighouse 2
Thaon 3
Hombourg-Haut 0
Amiens SC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
St. Michel 0
Sannois 2
Noisy Le Sec 0
Furiani Agliani 2
Vierzon Foot 0
Angouleme CFC 1
Canet Roussillon 1
Bordeaux 2
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saint-Meziery 1
Pirae 0
USLPV 0
Auxerre 1
Lyon - La Duchere 4
Bastia 1
Thonon-Evian 3
Aubagne FC 2
Chaponnay-Marennes 1
Hyeres 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
FC Seyssins 0
Saint-Omer 2
Saint Denis U.S. 1
Epinal 2
Troyes 1
Reims Ste Anne 2
Boulogne 1
Football Club de Chaumont 0
Dunkerque 1
Coulaines 2
Cholet 1
Chauray 0
Pau 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
SU Dives 2
Dieppe 3
Ergue-Gaberic 3
St. Renan 1
Saint-Philbert 2
Le Poire Sur Vie 0
Provin 0
Laval 5
Forbach 0
Geispolsheim 1
Sochaux 2
Jura Sud 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lorient -
Dinan 3
TA Rennes 1
Chateaugiron 0
Vitre 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
Caennaise 2
Fougeres 1
Saint-Malo 2
Guingamp 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
Hienghene Sport 0
Thionville 4
Fosseenne 1
Annecy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
1/64-finals
Bergerac 4
Panazol 2
Jeunesse Villenavaise 2
Libourne 4
Sarre Union 0
Pontarlier 1
TBD -
Lyon -
Bleriot Plage 0
Chambly 3
Villers Houlgate 1
Racing Club de France 3
Lille -
TBD -
Golden Lion 3
Troyenne 2
Metz -
TBD -
TBD -
Clermont -
Avoine 4
Le Geldar 1
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Stade Briochin 1
Les Herbiers 2
Douvres 1
Chateauroux 5
Le Havre -
TBD -
RC Calais 1
Caen 4
Louhans Cuiseaux 3
Cosne US 2
Pontivy 0
Rouen 1
Chambery 2
Grenoble 1
TBD -
Toulouse -
Paimpol 1
Challans 2
Stade Mayennais 0
Rodez 9
Lens -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Hauts Lyonnais 0
Feurs 3
Saint Priest 3
Domerat 0
US Castanet 0
Romorantin 3
Moulien 2
Fleury-Merogis 1
Sarreguemines 3
Biesheim 0
Mulhouse 1
Valenciennes 2
Martigues 1
Ales 2
Paris FC 3
Saint-Denis 1
AC Ajaccio 1
Orleans 2
St Etienne 0
Nimes 1
US Revel 2
Blagnac 1
TBD -
PSG -
AS-Fabregues 3
Cannes 2
Bassin d'Arcachon 0
Trelissac 2
Brest -
TBD -
Plessis Robinson 1
Angers 2
Itancourt Neuville 2
Feignies-Aulnoye 3
Quevilly 3
Dijon 1
Thaon 0
Amiens SC 1
TBD -
Montpellier -
Sannois 1
Furiani Agliani 0
Angouleme CFC 0
Bordeaux 1
Nice -
TBD -
Saint-Meziery 1
Auxerre 4
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Thonon-Evian 1
Chaponnay-Marennes 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 3
Saint-Omer 2
Epinal 1
Reims Ste Anne -
Dunkerque -
Coulaines 1
Pau 5
TBD -
Nantes -
Dieppe 2
Ergue-Gaberic 0
Saint-Philbert 1
Laval 2
Geispolsheim 0
Sochaux 4
TBD -
Lorient -
Dinan 2
Vitre 0
TBD -
Reims -
Caennaise 0
Guingamp 1
TBD -
Rennes -
Thionville 2
Annecy 1
TBD -
Marseille -
1/32-finals
Bergerac 2
Libourne 1
Pontarlier 0
Lyon 3
Chambly 1
Racing Club de France 2
Lille 12
Golden Lion 0
Metz 1
Clermont 2
Avoine 0
Strasbourg 4
Les Herbiers 2
Chateauroux 3
Le Havre 2
Caen 1
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
Rouen 2
Chambery 0
Toulouse 3
Challans 0
Rodez 4
Lens 2
Monaco 3
Feurs 3
Saint Priest 5
Romorantin 4
Moulien 0
Sarreguemines 0
Valenciennes 2
Ales 1
Paris FC 2
Orleans 2
Nimes 1
US Revel 0
PSG 9
AS-Fabregues 1
Trelissac 4
Brest 1
Angers 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Quevilly 0
Amiens SC 1
Montpellier 2
Sannois 1
Bordeaux 2
Nice 1
Auxerre 0
Lyon - La Duchere 1
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
Saint-Omer 2
Dunkerque 3
Pau 1
Nantes 4
Dieppe 0
Laval 4
Sochaux 2
Lorient 1
Dinan 0
Reims 3
Guingamp 0
Rennes 2
Thionville 0
Marseille 1
1/16-finals
Bergerac 1
Lyon 2
Racing Club de France 0
Lille 1
Clermont 1
Strasbourg 3
Chateauroux 0
Le Havre 1
Rouen 4
Toulouse 3
Rodez 1
Monaco 3
Saint Priest 4
Romorantin 1
Valenciennes 2
Paris FC 1
Orleans 1
PSG 4
Trelissac 1
Brest 2
Feignies-Aulnoye 0
Montpellier 4
Bordeaux 2
Nice 3
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
Dunkerque 1
Nantes 0
Laval 1
Sochaux 3
Reims 2
Rennes 2
Marseille 1
1/8-finals
Lyon 2
Lille 1
Strasbourg 3
Le Havre 1
Rouen 2
Monaco 1
Saint Priest 1
Valenciennes 2
PSG 3
Brest 1
Montpellier 1
Nice 4
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
Laval 1
Sochaux 1
Rennes 6
Quarter-finals
Lyon 1
Strasbourg 0
Rouen 1
Valenciennes 2
PSG 3
Nice 1
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Rennes 3
Semi-finals
Lyon 3
Valenciennes 0
PSG 1
Rennes 0
Final
Lyon 1
PSG 2
