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Lyon - La Duchere vs Bourges 18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group C Stade de Balmont, Lyon
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lyon - La Duchere host Bourges 18 in the National 1 - Group C. This has Bourges 18 written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Lyon - La Duchere at 1.48 goals for, 1.59 against; Bourges 18 at 0.87 for, 0.6 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Bourges 18. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lyon - La Duchere
35%
Draws
37%
Bourges 18
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bourges 18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Bourges 18 haven't matched Lyon - La Duchere's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National 1 - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Lyon - La Duchere Clean Sheet 20%
Bourges 18 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyon - La Duchere Bourges 18
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 15
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.48 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyon - La Duchere 36 / 100
Bourges 18 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyon - La Duchere Bourges 18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bourges 18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lyon - La Duchere's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bourges 18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Lyon - La Duchere remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Bourges 18 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lyon - La Duchere VS Bourges 18
0.86 Goals Scored 1
2.29 Goals Conceded 0.5
71% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 13%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyon - La Duchere

(Home)
03 Oct
GOAL FC
2 : 0
Lyon - La Duchere
19 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
3 : 1
Toulon
12 Sept
Andrezieux
3 : 1
Lyon - La Duchere
05 Sept
Lyon - La Duchere
0 : 1
Nimes
29 Aug
Saint Priest
2 : 1
Lyon - La Duchere
Page 1 of 6

Bourges 18

(Away)
03 Oct
Bourges 18
0 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
19 Sept
Canet Roussillon
0 : 0
Bourges 18
05 Sept
Bourges 18
0 : 0
GOAL FC
29 Aug
Toulon
0 : 0
Bourges 18
22 Aug
Bourges 18
1 : 1
Andrezieux
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nimes 6 5 1 0 15:3 16
2 Hyeres 6 3 3 0 11:4 12
3 Toulon 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
4 GOAL FC 5 2 3 0 9:5 9
5 Touraine 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
6 Hauts Lyonnais 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
7 Rumilly Vallieres 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
8 Frejus Saint Raphael 6 3 0 3 9:10 9
9 Andrezieux 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Troyes II 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
11 Saint Priest 6 1 3 2 7:11 6
12 Limonest 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
13 Bourges 18 5 0 4 1 1:2 4
14 Istres 6 0 4 2 2:6 4
15 Chateauroux 5 0 3 2 1:3 3
16 Lyon - La Duchere 6 1 0 5 6:16 3
17 Canet Roussillon 5 0 2 3 3:10 2
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)