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Lyon vs Lens

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
0 - 4
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Sarr M.
20' Event
Said W.
Assist: Antonio K.
27'
Abdulhamid S.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Lyon and Lens finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lens.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lyon
33%
Draws
40%
Lens
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Lens carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lens are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lyon Clean Sheet 10%
Lens Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyon Lens
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 19
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Lens
0:4
Mar 5, 2026 Coupe de France
Lyon vs Lens
2:3
Aug 16, 2025 Ligue 1
Lens vs Lyon
0:1
May 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Lens
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 Ligue 1
Lens vs Lyon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lyon Compare

Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Lens Compare

Top Goalscorer Said W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sotoca F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyon 26 / 100
Lens 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyon Lens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lyon scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Lens has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Lyon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lyon VS Lens
2.63 Goals Scored 2.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyon

(Home)
24 Jul
Wolfsburg
0 : 2
Lyon
18 Jul
Slavia Prague
2 : 0
Lyon
15 Jul
Lyon
2 : 1
Servette
11 Jul
Lyon
6 : 3
St. Gallen
08 Jul
Lyon
5 : 2
Macon
Page 1 of 6

Lens

(Away)
25 Jul
Lens
2 : 2
Charleroi
18 Jul
Lens
4 : 1
Boulogne
22 May
Lens
3 : 1
Nice
17 May
Lyon
0 : 4
Lens
13 May
Lens
0 : 2
PSG
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1PSG34244674:2976
2Lens34224866:3570
3Lille34187952:3761
4Lyon341861053:4060
5Marseille341851163:4559
6Rennes34178959:5059
7Monaco341661260:5454
8Strasbourg341581158:4753
9Toulouse341291347:4645
10Lorient3411121148:5145
11Paris FC3411111247:5044
12Brest341091543:5539
13Angers34991629:4836
14Le Havre347141332:4435
15Auxerre348101634:4434
16Nice347111637:6032
17Nantes34592029:5224
18Metz34382332:7617
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)