Sport Picks

France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Lens

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lyon play Lens in the Ligue 1 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lyon averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Lens averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Lyon won 1, Lens won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Lyon and 1.94 for Lens. This points to a Lens double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Lyon

39%

Draws

30%

Lens

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Lens has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Lyon.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Ligue 1 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Lyon Clean Sheet 10%

Lens Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lyon	Lens
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	18	22
Draws	5	3
Losses	8	5
Goals Scored	2.13	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Ligue 1

Lyon vs Lens

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

0:4

Mar 5, 2026 Coupe de France

Lyon vs Lens

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 2 - 4

2:3

Aug 16, 2025 Ligue 1

Lens vs Lyon

Possession: 43% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

May 4, 2025 Ligue 1

Lyon vs Lens

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Sep 15, 2024 Ligue 1

Lens vs Lyon

Possession: 45% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lyon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Lens Compare

Top Goalscorer Said W.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Sotoca F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyon 30 / 100

Lens 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lyon Lens

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lyon scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Lens let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Lyon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lens lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lyon VS Lens

2.13 Goals Scored 2.25

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	PSG	34	24	4	6	74:29	76
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	66:35	70
3	Lille	34	18	7	9	52:37	61
4	Lyon	34	18	6	10	53:40	60
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	63:45	59
6	Rennes	34	17	8	9	59:50	59
7	Monaco	34	16	6	12	60:54	54
8	Strasbourg	34	15	8	11	58:47	53
9	Toulouse	34	12	9	13	47:46	45
10	Lorient	34	11	12	11	48:51	45
11	Paris FC	34	11	11	12	47:50	44
12	Brest	34	10	9	15	43:55	39
13	Angers	34	9	9	16	29:48	36
14	Le Havre	34	7	14	13	32:44	35
15	Auxerre	34	8	10	16	34:44	34
16	Nice	34	7	11	16	37:60	32
17	Nantes	34	5	9	20	29:52	24
18	Metz	34	3	8	23	32:76	17