Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lysekloster vs Bjarg

Norway Norway

Division 2 - Group 1 Lysekloster Family Arena, Lysekloster
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Fromreide Aasbo E.
9' Event
Stronstad-Loseth S.
13'
Sub
Vagen J. In: Nakken V.
Out: Vagen J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group 1 game between Lysekloster and Bjarg finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bjarg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Lysekloster
15%
Draws
85%
Bjarg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bjarg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bjarg come out ahead of Lysekloster on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Bjarg taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Lysekloster Clean Sheet 11%
Bjarg Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lysekloster Bjarg
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.29 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Lysekloster vs Bjarg
0:3
May 2, 2026 Division 2 - Group 1
Bjarg vs Lysekloster
2:2
Mar 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Lysekloster vs Bjarg
2:2
Oct 8, 2022 Division 3 - Group 3
Lysekloster vs Bjarg
0:2
May 14, 2022 Division 3 - Group 3
Bjarg vs Lysekloster
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lysekloster Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Bjarg Compare

Top Goalscorer Fromreide Aasbo E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stronstad-Loseth S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lysekloster 10 / 100
Bjarg 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lysekloster Bjarg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bjarg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lysekloster found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Bjarg conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Bjarg lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lysekloster VS Bjarg
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lysekloster

(Home)
12 Sept
Lysekloster
2 : 3
Mjondalen
06 Sept
Notodden
3 : 0
Lysekloster
30 Aug
Arendal
2 : 1
Lysekloster
22 Aug
OS TF
2 : 0
Lysekloster
15 Aug
Lysekloster
0 : 1
Kvik Halden
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Bjarg

(Away)
16 Sept
Bjarg
1 : 4
Bryne
12 Sept
Vidar
1 : 4
Bjarg
06 Sept
Bjarg
4 : 0
Arendal
30 Aug
Bjarg
1 : 0
Mjondalen
22 Aug
Fana
1 : 3
Bjarg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jerv 19 14 3 2 41:18 45
2 Sotra 19 11 3 5 41:17 36
3 Brattvag 19 11 3 5 38:23 36
4 Bjarg 19 11 2 6 36:25 35
5 Mjondalen 19 11 2 6 33:26 35
6 Notodden 19 9 5 5 26:15 32
7 Kvik Halden 19 9 4 6 28:22 31
8 Traeff 19 8 6 5 35:30 30
9 Arendal 19 7 5 7 27:30 26
10 Pors 19 5 5 9 20:27 20
11 Sandviken 19 5 4 10 29:42 19
12 Lysekloster 19 3 5 11 21:40 14
13 Eik-Tonsberg 19 2 1 16 20:44 7
14 Vidar 19 1 4 14 17:53 7
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)