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Lyseng vs Holstebro

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division 2024/2025 Lyseng Idraetspark, Aarhus
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Tonnesen M.
27' Event
Mikkelsen M. G.
55' Event
Khalil A.

AI Match Summary

The 3rd Division 2024/2025 game between Lyseng and Holstebro finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lyseng.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lyseng
30%
Draws
29%
Holstebro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lyseng

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lyseng come out ahead of Holstebro on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Lyseng taking it.
  • Regular 3rd Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Lyseng Clean Sheet 10%
Holstebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lyseng Holstebro
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 3rd Division
Lyseng vs Holstebro
4:1
May 10, 2025 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Lyseng
3:3
Apr 6, 2025 3rd Division
Holstebro vs Lyseng
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 3rd Division
Lyseng vs Holstebro
1:3
Jun 1, 2024 3rd Division
Lyseng vs Holstebro
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lyseng Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikkelsen M. G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Khalil A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Holstebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Tonnesen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lyseng 34 / 100
Holstebro 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lyseng Holstebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holstebro let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Lyseng scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Lyseng went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lyseng VS Holstebro
0.63 Goals Scored 1.67
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Lyseng

(Home)
04 Aug
Lyseng
3 : 2
Vejgaard
13 Jun
Lyseng
3 : 2
Odder
05 Jun
Vejgaard
2 : 0
Lyseng
30 May
Holbaek
2 : 1
Lyseng
23 May
Lyseng
2 : 2
Sundby
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Holstebro

(Away)
08 Aug
Holstebro
2 : 2
Holbaek
04 Aug
Holstebro
1 : 3
Aalborg
01 Aug
Horsholm-Usserod
2 : 3
Holstebro
23 Jul
Skive
2 : 2
Holstebro
18 Jul
Thisted FC
3 : 2
Holstebro
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