Sport Picks

Stadium Background

M. Herzliya vs Bnei Eilat

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Exbard I.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South 2022/2023 game between M. Herzliya and Bnei Eilat finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward M. Herzliya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
M. Herzliya
20%
Draws
44%
Bnei Eilat
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bnei Eilat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and M. Herzliya come out ahead of Bnei Eilat on wins alone.
  • Bnei Eilat are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Alef South 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
M. Herzliya Clean Sheet 20%
Bnei Eilat Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric M. Herzliya Bnei Eilat
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 2
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.45 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2023 Liga Alef South
M. Herzliya vs Bnei Eilat
1:0
Nov 3, 2022 Liga Alef South
Bnei Eilat vs M. Herzliya
2:5
Mar 11, 2022 Liga Alef South
M. Herzliya vs Bnei Eilat
0:1
Dec 20, 2021 Liga Alef South
Bnei Eilat vs M. Herzliya
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

M. Herzliya Compare

Top Goalscorer Exbard I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Bnei Eilat Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Herzliya 28 / 100
Bnei Eilat 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
M. Herzliya Bnei Eilat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bnei Eilat Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bnei Eilat let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

M. Herzliya's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

M. Herzliya has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

M. Herzliya VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

M. Herzliya

(Home)
17 Sept
Yehuda
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
14 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 0
MS Kafr Qasim
07 Sept
Kiryat Gat
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
30 Aug
M. Herzliya
0 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Saba
23 Aug
M. Herzliya
2 : 3
H. Raanana
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Bnei Eilat

(Away)
21 Apr
Bnei Eilat
2 : 0
Holon Yermiyahu
14 Apr
MS Ironi Kuseife
0 : 3
Bnei Eilat
07 Apr
Ironi Modiin
2 : 0
Bnei Eilat
30 Mar
Bnei Eilat
2 : 3
Beitar Tel Aviv
24 Mar
Hapoel Marmorek
2 : 1
Bnei Eilat
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 M. Herzliya 30 19 9 2 69:30 66
2 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 30 18 9 3 57:25 63
3 Maccabi Yavne 30 16 5 9 41:25 53
4 H. Herzliya 30 14 10 6 45:24 52
5 FC Dimona 30 13 12 5 53:32 51
6 Hapoel Bikat Hayarden 30 15 6 9 54:37 51
7 Hapoel Marmorek 30 12 9 9 39:33 45
8 Shimshon Tel Aviv 30 10 5 15 36:49 35
9 Holon Yermiyahu 30 7 13 10 29:42 34
10 MS Ironi Kuseife 30 10 4 16 36:52 34
11 Ironi Modiin 30 8 9 13 40:40 33
12 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 30 7 11 12 29:41 32
13 Shimshon Kafr Qasim 30 7 9 14 28:67 30
14 Maccabi Shaarayim 30 6 9 15 26:39 27
15 Bnei Eilat 30 8 3 19 40:58 27
16 Beitar Tel Aviv 30 4 9 17 28:56 21
Promotion - Leumit League 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef - Promotion Play Offs 2022/2023 (Main)
Relegation - Liga Alef North 2022/2023 (Relegation)