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M. Lipetsk vs Kvant Obninsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Agalakov V.
57' Event
Grigorjev D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between M. Lipetsk and Kvant Obninsk finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward M. Lipetsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
M. Lipetsk
6%
Draws
4%
Kvant Obninsk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: M. Lipetsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kvant Obninsk haven't matched M. Lipetsk's recent run of results.
  • Model gives M. Lipetsk a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
M. Lipetsk Clean Sheet 68%
Kvant Obninsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric M. Lipetsk Kvant Obninsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 2
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 2.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
M. Lipetsk vs Kvant Obninsk
2:0
Sep 6, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
M. Lipetsk vs Kvant Obninsk
1:1
May 17, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kvant Obninsk vs M. Lipetsk
0:3
Sep 26, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
M. Lipetsk vs Kvant Obninsk
3:0
Jul 30, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kvant Obninsk vs M. Lipetsk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

M. Lipetsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Agalakov V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grigorjev D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Kvant Obninsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Lipetsk 95 / 100
Kvant Obninsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
M. Lipetsk Kvant Obninsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

M. Lipetsk found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Kvant Obninsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

M. Lipetsk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

M. Lipetsk VS Kvant Obninsk
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%