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M. Lipetsk vs Rodina Moscow 3

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2025 Stadion Metallurg
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Glukhov E.
26' Event
Sharapov T.
34' Event
Sharapov T.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2025 game between M. Lipetsk and Rodina Moscow 3 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rodina Moscow 3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
M. Lipetsk
39%
Draws
30%
Rodina Moscow 3
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and M. Lipetsk come out ahead of Rodina Moscow 3 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and M. Lipetsk have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
M. Lipetsk Clean Sheet 12%
Rodina Moscow 3 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric M. Lipetsk Rodina Moscow 3
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.25 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
M. Lipetsk vs Rodina Moscow 3
3:2
Oct 4, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
M. Lipetsk vs Rodina Moscow 3
1:2
Jun 15, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Rodina Moscow 3 vs M. Lipetsk
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

M. Lipetsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Glukhov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Rodina Moscow 3 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sharapov T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Lipetsk 30 / 100
Rodina Moscow 3 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
M. Lipetsk Rodina Moscow 3

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: M. Lipetsk scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Rodina Moscow 3's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: M. Lipetsk stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

M. Lipetsk VS Rodina Moscow 3
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

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5Znamya Truda28164857:2952
6Ryazan28138736:2947
7M. Lipetsk281351036:2544
8FC Oryol281081036:3738
9Arsenal Tula 228961339:3933
10Rodina Moscow 328881239:4632
11Penza28841626:4028
12SKA Khabarovsk 228831739:6427
13R. Volgograd 228581526:4423
14Strogino Moscow28631931:7321
15Kvant Obninsk28172017:7510
16Khimki 200000:00