Sport Picks

Israel

State Cup 2025/2026

M. Nazareth

1 - 8

Maccabi Haifa

Our Tip

Match Events

Kangani Sokapa A.

Haziza D.

17'

Haziza D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-8, with Maccabi Haifa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

M. Nazareth

15%

Draws

64%

Maccabi Haifa

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maccabi Haifa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

M. Nazareth haven't matched Maccabi Haifa's recent run of results.
Maccabi Haifa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Maccabi Haifa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Maccabi Haifa, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Maccabi Haifa here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

M. Nazareth Clean Sheet 16%

Maccabi Haifa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	M. Nazareth	Maccabi Haifa
Matches Played	21	32
Wins	10	17
Draws	3	3
Losses	8	12
Goals Scored	1.62	2
Goals Conceded	1.52	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 27, 2025 State Cup

M. Nazareth vs Maccabi Haifa

1:8

Mar 6, 2010 Ligat ha'Al

M. Nazareth vs Maccabi Haifa

0:5

Nov 21, 2009 Ligat ha'Al

Maccabi Haifa vs M. Nazareth

4:1

Apr 22, 2009 State Cup

M. Nazareth vs Maccabi Haifa

0:4

May 2, 2004 Ligat ha'Al

Maccabi Haifa vs M. Nazareth

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

M. Nazareth Compare

Top Goalscorer Mowasi H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

Maccabi Haifa Compare

Top Goalscorer Haziza D.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Melamed G.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

M. Nazareth 23 / 100

Maccabi Haifa 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

M. Nazareth Maccabi Haifa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Haifa Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:3

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.

M. Nazareth found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (21 games).

Maccabi Haifa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

M. Nazareth has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

M. Nazareth VS Maccabi Haifa

1 Goals Scored 1.5

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

M. Nazareth

(Home)

01 Oct

M. Nazareth

1 : 2

Ironi Modiin

24 Sept

H. Ironi Rishon

1 : 0

M. Nazareth

17 Sept

M. Nazareth

1 : 0

Hapoel Akko

10 Sept

Hapoel Kfar Shalem

3 : 3

M. Nazareth

06 Sept

M. Nazareth

1 : 2

Maccabi Bnei Raina

Page 1 of 5

Maccabi Haifa

(Away)

19 Sept

Maccabi Haifa

3 : 2

Ironi Tiberias

14 Sept

Shmona

0 : 4

Maccabi Haifa

05 Sept

Maccabi Haifa

2 : 1

Hapoel Petah Tikva

31 Aug

Maccabi Tel Aviv

3 : 1

Maccabi Haifa

22 Aug

Maccabi Haifa

2 : 1

Hapoel Ramat Gan

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva -

TBD -

Hapoel Tirat Karmel 0

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1

Nes Tziona 1

Hapoel Karmiel 2

Maccabi Bnei Raina -

TBD -

Hapoel Kfar Shalem -

H. Beer Sheva -

TBD -

Hapoel Hadera -

TBD -

Hapoel Sderot FC 2

Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1

Hapoel Jerusalem -

TBD -

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 7

FC Beer Sheva 0

TBD -

Kiryat Yam -

Beitar Haifa 0

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 5

TBD -

Hapoel Ramat Gan -

TBD -

Shmona -

Ironi Tiberias -

TBD -

Beitar Jerusalem -

Yehuda -

TBD -

Hapoel Afula -

TBD -

Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 3

M. Herzliya -

TBD -

Hapoel Akko -

Kfar Saba 1928 2

Maccabi Yavne 0

TBD -

H. Ironi Rishon -

Maccabi HaSharon Netanya 1

Bnei Jaffa 4

Jerusalem FC 6

Ihud Bnei Majd al-Krum 0

TBD -

Netanya -

Sakhnin -

TBD -

Maccabi Jaffa -

Hapoel Tel Aviv -

TBD -

SC Ashdod -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

TBD -

Hapoel Haifa -

Jadeidi-Makr 5

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1

TBD -

H. Raanana -

Kiryat Haim 1

Hapoel Yarka 2

Kfar Kama 0

Kiryat Gat 1

Ironi Modiin -

TBD -

M. Nazareth 2

Beitar Ramat Gan 1

TBD -

Maccabi Haifa -

Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil 0

Shimshon Tel Aviv 2

TBD -

MS Kafr Qasim -

Shikun Hamizrah 0

Holon Yermiyahu 5

TBD -

Nof Hagalil -

Ironi Or Yehuda 1

FC Dimona 3

TBD -

Maccabi Petah Tikva -

TBD -

Hapoel Kfar Saba -

1/32-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva -

TBD -

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1

Hapoel Karmiel 4

Maccabi Bnei Raina -

TBD -

Hapoel Kfar Shalem -

H. Beer Sheva -

TBD -

Hapoel Hadera 3

Hapoel Sderot FC 4

Hapoel Jerusalem -

TBD -

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 2

Kiryat Yam 1

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 2

Hapoel Ramat Gan 3

TBD -

Shmona -

Ironi Tiberias -

TBD -

Beitar Jerusalem -

Yehuda -

TBD -

Hapoel Afula 2

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 3

M. Herzliya 2

Hapoel Akko 0

Kfar Saba 1928 1

H. Ironi Rishon 0

Bnei Jaffa 1

Jerusalem FC 0

TBD -

Netanya -

Sakhnin -

TBD -

Maccabi Jaffa -

Hapoel Tel Aviv -

TBD -

SC Ashdod -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

TBD -

Hapoel Haifa -

Jadeidi-Makr 0

H. Raanana 1

Hapoel Yarka 0

Kiryat Gat 4

Ironi Modiin 1

M. Nazareth 3

TBD -

Maccabi Haifa -

Shimshon Tel Aviv 0

MS Kafr Qasim 2

Holon Yermiyahu 1

Nof Hagalil 0

FC Dimona 1

Maccabi Petah Tikva 0

TBD -

Hapoel Kfar Saba -

1/16-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva 2

Hapoel Karmiel 1

Maccabi Bnei Raina 1

Hapoel Kfar Shalem 0

H. Beer Sheva 2

Hapoel Sderot FC 1

Hapoel Jerusalem 2

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0

Hapoel Ramat Gan 2

Shmona 3

Ironi Tiberias 1

Beitar Jerusalem 2

Yehuda 2

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 1

M. Herzliya 4

Kfar Saba 1928 1

Bnei Jaffa 0

Netanya 6

Sakhnin 0

Maccabi Jaffa 2

Hapoel Tel Aviv 3

SC Ashdod 0

Maccabi Tel Aviv 5

Hapoel Haifa 0

H. Raanana 4

Kiryat Gat 3

M. Nazareth 1

Maccabi Haifa 8

MS Kafr Qasim 3

Holon Yermiyahu 1

FC Dimona 1

Hapoel Kfar Saba 3

1/8-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva 1

Maccabi Bnei Raina 2

H. Beer Sheva 2

Hapoel Jerusalem 1

Shmona 0

Beitar Jerusalem 2

Yehuda 1

M. Herzliya 0

Netanya 0

Maccabi Jaffa 2

Hapoel Tel Aviv 1

Maccabi Tel Aviv 2

H. Raanana 0

Maccabi Haifa 1

MS Kafr Qasim 1

Hapoel Kfar Saba 0

Quarter-finals

Maccabi Bnei Raina 0

H. Beer Sheva 3

Beitar Jerusalem 1

Yehuda 2

Maccabi Jaffa 0

Maccabi Tel Aviv 5

Maccabi Haifa 2

MS Kafr Qasim 0

Semi-finals

H. Beer Sheva 3

Yehuda 2

Maccabi Tel Aviv 3

Maccabi Haifa 2

Final

H. Beer Sheva 1

Maccabi Tel Aviv 2

M. Nazareth vs Maccabi Haifa

Israel

M. Nazareth

Maccabi Haifa

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

M. Nazareth Compare

Maccabi Haifa Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

M. Nazareth

Maccabi Haifa

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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