Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maardu Linnameeskond vs Elva

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Maardu kunstmuruväljak - Artificial grass, Maardu
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Haabma K.
38' Event
Burov K.
88' Event
Poldsaar K.

AI Match Summary

Elva in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Maardu Linnameeskond
6%
Draws
90%
Elva
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Elva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Elva have won more games recently than Maardu Linnameeskond.
  • Model gives Elva a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%
Elva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maardu Linnameeskond Elva
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 8 3
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Maardu Linnameeskond
4:3
Mar 12, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Elva
0:3
Oct 14, 2021 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Elva
0:0
Oct 14, 2021 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Elva
2:1
Aug 25, 2021 Esiliiga
Elva vs Maardu Linnameeskond
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Elva Compare

Top Goalscorer Haabma K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maardu Linnameeskond 10 / 100
Elva 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maardu Linnameeskond Elva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maardu Linnameeskond's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Elva conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Maardu Linnameeskond stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maardu Linnameeskond VS Elva
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maardu Linnameeskond

(Home)
18 Jul
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
13 Jul
Maardu Linnameeskond
1 : 8
Tartu JK Welco
09 Jul
Maardu Linnameeskond
3 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
03 Jul
Tallinna Kalev
3 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
22 Jun
Maardu Linnameeskond
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
Page 1 of 6

Elva

(Away)
22 Jul
Laanemaa Haapsalu
0 : 6
Elva
16 Jul
Viimsi JK
1 : 3
Elva
11 Jul
FC Tallinn
0 : 3
Elva
05 Jul
Kalju U21
2 : 2
Elva
30 Jun
Jarva-Jaani
0 : 4
Elva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu JK Welco20143362:2645
2Viimsi JK1995531:1932
3Flora Tallinn U211994646:3831
4Elva2093837:3330
5Levadia U2120901139:3527
6Maardu Linnameeskond2075830:4726
7Tallinna Kalev2074940:4025
8FC Tallinn20551027:4920
9Nomme Utd U211955936:4520
10Kalju U2119541030:4619
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)