Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maardu Linnameeskond vs Kuressaare U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Maardu linnastaadion, Maardu
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Drabinko D.
15'
Tasa T.
16' Event
Volkov A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Maardu Linnameeskond in this Esiliiga B 2025 matchup, with the score ending 6-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maardu Linnameeskond.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Maardu Linnameeskond
15%
Draws
0%
Kuressaare U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maardu Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kuressaare U21 haven't matched Maardu Linnameeskond's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Maardu Linnameeskond a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Maardu Linnameeskond have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 13%
Kuressaare U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maardu Linnameeskond Kuressaare U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 5 1
Losses 9 25
Goals Scored 1.77 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
1:2
Aug 2, 2025 Esiliiga B
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Kuressaare U21
6:2
Jun 19, 2025 Esiliiga B
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Kuressaare U21
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 Esiliiga B
Kuressaare U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Drabinko D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Utgof E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Kuressaare U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Oispuu M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maardu Linnameeskond 84 / 100
Kuressaare U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maardu Linnameeskond Kuressaare U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maardu Linnameeskond Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maardu Linnameeskond found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Kuressaare U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Kuressaare U21's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Maardu Linnameeskond VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maardu Linnameeskond

(Home)
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
24 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
20 Aug
Elva
1 : 0
Maardu Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 6

Kuressaare U21

(Away)
09 Nov
Kuressaare U21
1 : 2
Maardu Linnameeskond
02 Nov
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 0
Kuressaare U21
27 Oct
Kuressaare U21
1 : 4
Nomme Utd U21
23 Oct
Kuressaare U21
0 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
19 Oct
Laanemaa Haapsalu
4 : 2
Kuressaare U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 28 5 3 116:39 89
2 Nomme Utd U21 36 23 3 10 93:53 72
3 Johvi Phoenix 36 21 5 10 95:61 68
4 Narva U21 36 21 3 12 87:53 66
5 Tartu Kalev 36 19 4 13 81:53 61
6 Tabasalu 36 13 8 15 60:67 47
7 Legion 36 13 5 18 66:94 44
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 8 17 65:71 41
9 Kuressaare U21 36 6 1 29 40:105 19
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 3 2 31 33:140 11
Promotion - Esiliiga (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2025 (Relegation)