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Maardu Linnameeskond vs Nomme Utd U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Maardu linnastaadion, Maardu
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Malinin V.
41' Event
Kouadio E.
90' Event
Volkov A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Maardu Linnameeskond in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maardu Linnameeskond.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Maardu Linnameeskond
15%
Draws
85%
Nomme Utd U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nomme Utd U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Maardu Linnameeskond have won more games recently than Nomme Utd U21.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 19%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maardu Linnameeskond Nomme Utd U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
0:0
Sep 6, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Nomme Utd U21
2:1
May 9, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Nomme Utd U21
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
4:1
Oct 30, 2025 Esiliiga B
Nomme Utd U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Malinin V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kouadio E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nomme Utd U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maardu Linnameeskond 36 / 100
Nomme Utd U21 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maardu Linnameeskond Nomme Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nomme Utd U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maardu Linnameeskond's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Nomme Utd U21 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Nomme Utd U21 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maardu Linnameeskond VS Nomme Utd U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maardu Linnameeskond

(Home)
15 Oct
Viimsi JK
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
11 Oct
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Kalju U21
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
13 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Tallinna Kalev
10 Sept
FC Tallinn
4 : 0
Maardu Linnameeskond
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Nomme Utd U21

(Away)
09 Oct
Nomme Utd U21
0 : 1
Levadia U21
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 32 21 5 6 85:39 68
2 Viimsi JK 31 16 5 10 56:31 53
3 Flora Tallinn U21 31 15 6 10 72:53 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 31 15 2 14 61:55 47
6 Tallinna Kalev 30 11 7 12 52:55 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 30 8 8 14 39:63 32
9 Kalju U21 31 7 4 20 38:79 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)