Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga 2018

Maardu Linnameeskond

4 - 0

Santos Tartu

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Lebedev D. In: Gussev V.

Out: Lebedev D.

46'

Sub

Suvorikov D. In: Salabai V.

Out: Suvorikov D.

51'

Aksjonov V.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2018 game between Maardu Linnameeskond and Santos Tartu finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maardu Linnameeskond.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Maardu Linnameeskond

40%

Draws

29%

Santos Tartu

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Maardu Linnameeskond come out ahead of Santos Tartu on wins alone.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Esiliiga 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Maardu Linnameeskond have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 12%

Santos Tartu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Maardu Linnameeskond	Santos Tartu
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	15	11
Draws	8	6
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.25	0
Goals Conceded	2.5	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2018 Esiliiga

Maardu Linnameeskond vs Santos Tartu

Possession: 50% - 60% Cards: 0 - 3

5:0

Jul 21, 2018 Esiliiga

Santos Tartu vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 4 - 2

0:5

May 24, 2018 Esiliiga

Santos Tartu vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Possession: 44% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Apr 5, 2018 Esiliiga

Maardu Linnameeskond vs Santos Tartu

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 0 - 3

4:0

Sep 16, 2017 Esiliiga

Maardu Linnameeskond vs Santos Tartu

Possession: 46% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Aksjonov V.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Brolin N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Santos Tartu Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maardu Linnameeskond 30 / 100

Santos Tartu 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Maardu Linnameeskond Santos Tartu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maardu Linnameeskond scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Santos Tartu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Maardu Linnameeskond went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maardu Linnameeskond VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

2.5 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maardu Linnameeskond	36	29	1	6	126:38	88
2	Flora Tallinn U21	36	21	8	7	115:31	71
3	Levadia U21	36	18	7	11	67:56	61
4	Elva	36	15	10	11	51:64	55
5	Rakvere	36	14	10	12	59:60	52
6	Tartu JK Welco	36	12	6	18	44:78	42
7	Santos Tartu	36	11	8	17	47:68	41
8	Tallinna Kalev U21	36	10	9	17	37:52	39
9	Keila JK	36	10	5	21	41:88	35
10	Kalju U21	36	5	6	25	37:89	21