Sport Picks
Maastricht vs Almere City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie De Geusselt, Maastricht 
Match Events
13'
13'
Druijf F.
42'
42'
Sub
Hofland M. In: Schenk L.
Out: Hofland M.
46'
46'
Sub
Cornelisse E. In: de Haan M.
Out: Cornelisse E.
AI Match Summary
Almere City in this Eerste Divisie matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almere City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almere City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Almere City lately — more wins on the board than Maastricht.
- Almere City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Maastricht Clean Sheet 10%
Almere City Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maastricht | Almere City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 2 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 2.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Almere City
0:4
Feb 2, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Almere City
1:1
Nov 7, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Maastricht
4:0
May 19, 2023 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Maastricht
1:0
Nov 19, 2022 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Almere City
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maastricht Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Almere City Compare
Top Goalscorer Druijf F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dors M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maastricht 10 / 100
Almere City 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maastricht Almere City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Almere City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Maastricht scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Almere City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Maastricht has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Maastricht VS Almere City
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Maastricht
(Home) 03 Oct
TOP Oss
4 : 1 Maastricht
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0 Helmond Sport
18 Sept
Waalwijk
6 : 1 Maastricht
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4 Almere City
06 Sept
Maastricht
1 : 1 Roda
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Maastricht
2 : 0 Helmond Sport
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4 Almere City
06 Sept
Maastricht
1 : 1 Roda
21 Aug
Maastricht
1 : 0 FC Volendam
09 Aug
Maastricht
2 : 1 Jong Utrecht
Page 1 of 3
Almere City
(Away) 03 Oct
Almere City
1 : 0 FC Volendam
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2 Almere City
18 Sept
Almere City
1 : 0 Heracles
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4 Almere City
04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Dordrecht
3 : 2 Almere City
11 Sept
Maastricht
0 : 4 Almere City
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4 Almere City
21 Aug
Vitesse
0 : 3 Almere City
08 Aug
Den Bosch
1 : 1 Almere City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:12 | 22 |
| 2 | Almere City | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Venlo | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23:14 | 18 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 5 | Maastricht | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:19 | 16 |
| 6 | Roda | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 15 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 19:12 | 14 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | 14 |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 10 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | FC Volendam | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 20:17 | 12 |
| 12 | Jong PSV | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 9 |
| 15 | TOP Oss | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Den Bosch | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 17 | Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 18 | Dordrecht | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:24 | 8 |
| 19 | De Graafschap | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:22 | 8 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
