Sport Picks
Maastricht vs Jong PSV
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 De Geusselt, Maastricht 
Match Events
2'
2'
Jones A.
Assist: Bassey E.
17'
17'
Asante D.
Assist: Braken S.
46'
46'
Sub
Koller J. In: van der Plas S.
Out: Koller J.
AI Match Summary
Maastricht in this Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maastricht.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Maastricht
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Maastricht haven't matched Jong PSV's recent run of results.
- Model gives Maastricht a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Maastricht Clean Sheet 16%
Jong PSV Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maastricht | Jong PSV |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.67 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 6, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Jong PSV
2:1
Sep 29, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Maastricht
2:2
Apr 14, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Jong PSV vs Maastricht
3:2
Aug 30, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Jong PSV
3:2
Feb 19, 2024 Eerste Divisie
Maastricht vs Jong PSV
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maastricht Compare
Top Goalscorer Asante D.
1 Goals Assists Leader El Basri N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Jong PSV Compare
Top Goalscorer Jones A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maastricht 48 / 100
Jong PSV 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maastricht Jong PSV
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jong PSV let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.
Maastricht went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Jong PSV lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Maastricht VS Jong PSV
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Maastricht
(Home) 25 Jul
Maastricht
3 : 4 SK Beveren
21 Jul
EVV
2 : 2 Maastricht
18 Jul
Maastricht
0 : 0 Racing Luxembourg
14 Jul
RFC Seraing
0 : 0 Maastricht
12 Jul
FC Viktoria Koln
1 : 4 Maastricht
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Maastricht
3 : 4 SK Beveren
18 Jul
Maastricht
0 : 0 Racing Luxembourg
24 Apr
Maastricht
0 : 2 TOP Oss
10 Apr
Maastricht
0 : 0 Helmond Sport
03 Apr
Maastricht
1 : 3 Waalwijk
Page 1 of 3
Jong PSV
(Away) 18 Jul
Jong PSV
2 : 4 Genk U23
24 Apr
Waalwijk
4 : 1 Jong PSV
17 Apr
Jong PSV
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
13 Apr
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 2 Jong PSV
06 Apr
Jong PSV
1 : 0 Venlo
Page 1 of 7
24 Apr
Waalwijk
4 : 1 Jong PSV
13 Apr
Jong AZ Alkmaar
0 : 2 Jong PSV
03 Apr
Willem II
1 : 0 Jong PSV
16 Mar
Den Bosch
1 : 0 Jong PSV
06 Mar
Roda
0 : 2 Jong PSV
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 44 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | 35 |
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)