Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Macae vs Artsul

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2 2023
Macae Logo

Macae

1 - 4
FT
Artsul Logo

Artsul

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
51' Event
61'
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Artsul in this Carioca 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Artsul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Macae
35%
Draws
41%
Artsul
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Artsul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Artsul have won more games recently than Macae.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Carioca 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Artsul here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Macae Clean Sheet 20%
Artsul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macae Artsul
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2023 Carioca 2
Macae vs Artsul
1:4
Jun 22, 2022 Carioca 2
Macae vs Artsul
0:0
Jul 31, 2021 Carioca 2
Artsul vs Macae
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macae 32 / 100
Artsul 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macae Artsul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macae found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Artsul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Macae stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macae VS Artsul
1.88 Goals Scored 1.29
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Macae

(Home)
23 Jun
Americano
2 : 1
Macae
17 Jun
Macae
0 : 0
Americano
07 Dec
Goytacaz
4 : 1
Macae
30 Nov
Macae
1 : 1
Goytacaz
23 Nov
Santa Cruz RJ
2 : 2
Macae
Page 1 of 6

Artsul

(Away)
08 Nov
Artsul
1 : 1
Sao Cristovao
05 Nov
Goncalense
1 : 0
Artsul
01 Nov
Artsul
1 : 2
Serrano FC
25 Oct
Artsul
3 : 1
AA Carapebus
18 Oct
Nova Cidade
0 : 0
Artsul
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goncalense 11 6 3 2 11:8 21
2 Sampaio Correa FE 11 6 2 3 13:12 20
3 Artsul 11 5 4 2 15:10 19
4 Olaria 11 5 4 2 14:9 19
5 Americano 11 5 4 2 12:7 19
6 Cabofriense 11 4 3 4 13:13 15
7 Resende 11 4 2 5 13:11 14
8 America RJ 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
9 Marica 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 2 5 4 9:11 11
11 Macae 11 3 1 7 8:16 10
12 Friburguense 11 2 1 8 5:13 7
Promotion - Carioca 2 2023 (Play Offs)