Sport Picks
Macae vs Goncalense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Carioca B1 
AI Match Summary
Macae host Goncalense in the Carioca B1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Macae have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against Goncalense's 0.9 scored and 0.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Goncalense slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 13, 2023, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.85 - 1.13) back Goncalense to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Goncalense haven't matched Macae's recent run of results.
- Model gives Macae a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Goncalense here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Macae | Goncalense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Macae's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Goncalense has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Macae stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Macae
(Home)Goncalense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niteroiense | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Goncalense | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Goytacaz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 10 |
| 4 | Duque de Caxias | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Artsul | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 6 | Campo Grande | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 7 | Serrano FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 8 | Macae | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 9 | Sao Cristovao | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 10 | Nova Cidade | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | 2 |
| 11 | AA Carapebus | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 12 | Audax RJ | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:8 | 1 |
