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Macae vs Goytacaz

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
Macae Logo

Macae

0 - 1
FT
Goytacaz Logo

Goytacaz

Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Matheus Arcado
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2025 game between Macae and Goytacaz finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Goytacaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Macae
35%
Draws
45%
Goytacaz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Goytacaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Goytacaz come out ahead of Macae on wins alone.
  • Goytacaz are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Macae Clean Sheet 20%
Goytacaz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macae Goytacaz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2025 Carioca B2
Goytacaz vs Macae
4:1
Nov 30, 2025 Carioca B2
Macae vs Goytacaz
1:1
Oct 13, 2025 Carioca B2
Macae vs Goytacaz
0:1
Feb 18, 2019 Carioca
Goytacaz vs Macae
1:2
Jan 26, 2019 Carioca
Macae vs Goytacaz
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macae Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Goytacaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Arcado
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macae 24 / 100
Goytacaz 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macae Goytacaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goytacaz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Goytacaz conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Macae scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Macae has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Macae VS Goytacaz
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Macae

(Home)
23 Jun
Americano
2 : 1
Macae
17 Jun
Macae
0 : 0
Americano
07 Dec
Goytacaz
4 : 1
Macae
30 Nov
Macae
1 : 1
Goytacaz
23 Nov
Santa Cruz RJ
2 : 2
Macae
Page 1 of 6

Goytacaz

(Away)
24 Jun
America RJ
:
Goytacaz
17 Jun
Goytacaz
:
America RJ
07 Dec
Goytacaz
4 : 1
Macae
30 Nov
Macae
1 : 1
Goytacaz
23 Nov
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Goytacaz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 8 7 1 0 14:3 22
2 Belford Roxo 8 5 1 2 17:8 16
3 Goytacaz 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
4 Macae 8 4 1 3 13:5 13
5 Serra Macaense 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
6 Paraty 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
7 7 de Abril 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 8 1 0 7 7:25 3
9 Barra Mansa 8 0 2 6 4:18 2
Promotion - Carioca B2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)