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Macapa U20 vs Nautico FC U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20 2024
Macapa U20 Logo

Macapa U20

1 - 0
FT
Nautico FC U20 Logo

Nautico FC U20

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Juninho
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Macapa U20 in this Copa do Brasil U20 2024 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Macapa U20
6%
Draws
4%
Nautico FC U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Macapa U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Macapa U20 have won more games recently than Nautico FC U20.
  • Model gives Macapa U20 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Macapa U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Macapa U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Macapa U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Nautico FC U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macapa U20 Nautico FC U20
Matches Played 9 6
Wins 3 1
Draws 4 2
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 1.38 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.13 3.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2024 Copa do Brasil U20
Macapa U20 vs Nautico FC U20
1:0
Oct 16, 2024 Copa do Brasil U20
Nautico FC U20 vs Macapa U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macapa U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Nautico FC U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macapa U20 85 / 100
Nautico FC U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macapa U20 Nautico FC U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nautico FC U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 6 matches.

Macapa U20 scored in 78% of their last 9 games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Macapa U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macapa U20 VS Nautico FC U20
1.38 Goals Scored 0.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.17
75% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Macapa U20

(Home)
07 Nov
Ceara U20
5 : 1
Macapa U20
30 Oct
Macapa U20
0 : 0
Ceara U20
24 Oct
Macapa U20
1 : 0
Nautico FC U20
16 Oct
Nautico FC U20
1 : 1
Macapa U20
02 Oct
Sampaio Correa U20
2 : 3
Macapa U20
Page 1 of 2

Nautico FC U20

(Away)
09 Jan
Nautico FC U20
1 : 1
Santa Cruz AC U20
06 Jan
Osasco Sporting U20
6 : 0
Nautico FC U20
03 Jan
Palmeiras U20
9 : 0
Nautico FC U20
24 Oct
Macapa U20
1 : 0
Nautico FC U20
16 Oct
Nautico FC U20
1 : 1
Macapa U20
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Goias U203
Vasco U202
Flamengo RJ U208
Porto Vitoria U201
America RN U200
Retro U202
Bahia U208
Tiradentes-PI U200
Fast Clube U201
SD Sparta U202
Tuna Luso U203
Rondoniense SC U202
Gremio U201
Criciuma U202
Sao Paulo U206
Londrina U201
Nautico FC U202
Madureira U201
Sampaio Correa U202
Macapa U203
CSA U203
Lagarto U200
Ceara U205
Serra Branca U200
Coritiba U202
EC Juventude U201
Palmeiras U2012
Uniao ABC U200
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U203
Coimbra Sports U202
Cuiaba U205
Gama U200
1/8-finals
Goias U205
Flamengo RJ U203
Retro U200
Bahia U205
SD Sparta U200
Tuna Luso U206
Criciuma U201
Sao Paulo U207
Nautico FC U201
Macapa U202
CSA U200
Ceara U2010
Coritiba U203
Palmeiras U204
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U205
Cuiaba U203
Quarter-finals
Goias U204
Bahia U206
Tuna Luso U201
Sao Paulo U203
Macapa U201
Ceara U205
Palmeiras U203
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U202
Semi-finals
Bahia U202
Sao Paulo U204
Ceara U201
Palmeiras U207
Final
Sao Paulo U203
Palmeiras U202