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Macapa vs Santana EC Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2016
Macapa Logo

Macapa

4 - 0
FT
Santana EC Logo

Santana EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Macapa in this Campeonato Amapaense 2016 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Macapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Macapa
15%
Draws
68%
Santana EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santana EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Santana EC average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Macapa's 1.4.
  • Model gives Santana EC a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Macapa Clean Sheet 16%
Santana EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macapa Santana EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 1.4 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.45
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2024 Amapaense
Macapa vs Santana EC
1:2
May 26, 2023 Amapaense
Santana EC vs Macapa
3:4
Jun 21, 2022 Amapaense
Macapa vs Santana EC
3:4
Jul 22, 2021 Amapaense
Santana EC vs Macapa
1:1
Sep 9, 2020 Amapaense
Santana EC vs Macapa
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macapa 10 / 100
Santana EC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macapa Santana EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santana EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santana EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Macapa scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Macapa stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macapa VS Santana EC
0.57 Goals Scored 0.75
2.14 Goals Conceded 4
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 88%
29% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Macapa

(Home)
15 Mar
Santos AP
5 : 0
Macapa
09 Mar
Macapa
1 : 3
Independente AP
06 Mar
Oratorio
3 : 0
Macapa
01 Mar
Macapa
0 : 1
Ypiranga AP
22 Feb
Cristal AP
1 : 2
Macapa
Page 1 of 6

Santana EC

(Away)
13 Jun
Mazagao
1 : 3
Santana EC
07 Jun
Santana EC
1 : 6
Rio Norte
28 May
Bare AP
1 : 2
Santana EC
19 May
Santana EC
3 : 0
Canario
11 May
ADEC
0 : 3
Santana EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos AP 4 3 1 0 8:1 10
2 Macapa 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
3 Sao Paulo AP 4 2 0 2 11:5 6
4 Trem 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
5 Santana EC 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2016 (Second stage - Play Offs)