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Macara vs Barcelona SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Macara host Barcelona SC in the Liga Pro. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Macara at 1.39 goals for, 1.03 against; Barcelona SC at 1.07 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Macara slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.00 - 1.06) back Macara to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Macara
20%
Draws
24%
Barcelona SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Barcelona SC haven't matched Macara's recent run of results.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Macara taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Macara Clean Sheet 20%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macara Barcelona SC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.39 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Macara
1:2
Apr 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Macara vs Barcelona SC
3:1
Aug 17, 2025 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Macara
0:2
Apr 27, 2025 Liga Pro
Macara vs Barcelona SC
0:1
Sep 15, 2024 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Macara
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macara 40 / 100
Barcelona SC 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macara Barcelona SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Macara scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Barcelona SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Macara went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macara VS Barcelona SC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Macara

(Home)
11 Oct
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Macara
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2
Macara
13 Sept
Macara
1 : 0
Emelec
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1
Macara
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3
Manta
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Barcelona SC

(Away)
11 Oct
LDU Quito
2 : 1
Barcelona SC
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1
Independiente del Valle
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 31 25 2 4 75:34 77
2 Macara 32 17 6 9 44:34 57
3 LDU Quito 32 15 7 10 35:26 52
4 U. Catolica 32 14 9 9 52:30 51
5 Aucas 32 14 8 10 35:32 50
6 Barcelona SC 31 11 11 9 33:27 44
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