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Macara vs Dep. Cuenca

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista
Wed, Jul 22, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Macara host Dep. Cuenca in the Liga Pro. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Dep. Cuenca have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Macara have conceded 0.75 and scored 0.63. Head-to-head, Macara have won 1 to Dep. Cuenca's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.63, favoring Macara. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Macara
6%
Draws
4%
Dep. Cuenca
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dep. Cuenca haven't matched Macara's recent run of results.
  • Macara are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Macara Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macara Dep. Cuenca
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 17 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 0.63 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Macara
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Macara vs Dep. Cuenca
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Liga Pro
Macara vs Dep. Cuenca
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Macara
0:2
Aug 2, 2025 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Macara
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macara 85 / 100
Dep. Cuenca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macara Dep. Cuenca

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macara went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Macara scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Dep. Cuenca conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Macara VS Dep. Cuenca
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle18141340:1943
2Aucas1895421:1632
3Barcelona SC1886420:1330
4LDU Quito1884619:1428
5Dep. Cuenca1883718:2027
6U. Catolica1875628:1826
7Macara1875618:1826
8Emelec1866614:1724
9Tecnico U.1872919:1923
10Leones del Norte1865719:1923
11Orense1865722:2423
12Guayaquil City1864816:2122
13Mushuc Runa1856723:2721
14Libertad1846817:2518
15Delfin1845910:1817
16Manta1834117:2313