Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Macara vs Tecnico U.

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Macara play Tecnico U. in the Liga Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Macara averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1 conceded. Tecnico U. averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Macara won 1, Tecnico U. won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jul 11, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Macara and 1.13 for Tecnico U.. This points to a Macara double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Macara
11%
Draws
9%
Tecnico U.
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Macara has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tecnico U..
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Macara.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Pro provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Macara Clean Sheet 68%
Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macara Tecnico U.
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Macara
0:2
Mar 8, 2026 Liga Pro
Macara vs Tecnico U.
1:1
Jul 20, 2025 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Macara
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Liga Pro
Macara vs Tecnico U.
0:1
Feb 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Macara vs Tecnico U.
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macara Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferro L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Tecnico U. Compare

Top Goalscorer Cagua M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macara 86 / 100
Tecnico U. 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macara Tecnico U.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macara scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Tecnico U. let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Macara went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tecnico U. lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macara VS Tecnico U.
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle18141340:1943
2Aucas1895421:1632
3Barcelona SC1785420:1329
4LDU Quito1884619:1428
5Dep. Cuenca1883718:2027
6U. Catolica1875628:1826
7Macara1875618:1826
8Tecnico U.1872919:1923
9Leones del Norte1865719:1923
10Orense1865722:2423
11Emelec1765614:1723
12Guayaquil City1864816:2122
13Mushuc Runa1856723:2721
14Libertad1846817:2518
15Delfin1845910:1817
16Manta1834117:2313