Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Bellavista, Ambato

Macara

2 - 2

Tigre

Our Tip

Match Events

Sub

Paz F. In: Espinoza T.

Out: Paz F.

17'

Romero D.

35'

Etchebarne S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Macara

35%

Draws

25%

Tigre

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Macara have won more games recently than Tigre.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Macara have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Macara Clean Sheet 68%

Tigre Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Macara	Tigre
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	13	7
Draws	7	12
Losses	8	10
Goals Scored	1.32	0.93
Goals Conceded	1.04	0.86
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Macara vs Tigre

2:2

Apr 16, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Tigre vs Macara

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macara Compare

Top Goalscorer Posse F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.59

Tigre Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero D.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macara 41 / 100

Tigre 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Macara Tigre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macara Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macara scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Tigre conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Macara remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Macara VS Tigre

1.75 Goals Scored 1

1 Goals Conceded 0.63

88% Over 1.5 38%

75% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Macara

(Home)

20 Aug

Macara

0 : 0

Santos

18 Aug

Macara

1 : 1

U. Catolica

13 Aug

Santos

2 : 1

Macara

09 Aug

Barcelona SC

1 : 2

Macara

02 Aug

Macara

2 : 1

Guayaquil City

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Tigre

(Away)

20 Aug

Montevideo City

2 : 1

Tigre

15 Aug

Aldosivi

0 : 0

Tigre

12 Aug

Tigre

0 : 1

Montevideo City

08 Aug

Tigre

1 : 0

River Plate

06 Aug

Tigre

0 : 0

CA Belgrano de Cordoba

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