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Macara vs U. Catolica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Macara Logo

Macara

Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
U. Catolica Logo

U. Catolica

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Macara host U. Catolica in the Liga Pro. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Macara at 1.27 goals for, 1.13 against; U. Catolica at 1.66 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Macara have won 1 to U. Catolica's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.50) point toward Macara. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Macara
15%
Draws
31%
U. Catolica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Macara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Macara come out ahead of U. Catolica on wins alone.
  • Macara are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Macara Clean Sheet 16%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macara U. Catolica
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.27 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Macara
0:1
Aug 18, 2026 Liga Pro
Macara vs U. Catolica
1:1
Apr 24, 2026 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Macara
4:0
Jul 27, 2025 Liga Pro
Macara vs U. Catolica
1:4
Apr 6, 2025 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Macara
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macara 39 / 100
U. Catolica 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macara U. Catolica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macara's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

U. Catolica has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Macara remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Macara VS U. Catolica
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Macara

(Home)
17 Oct
Macara
1 : 0
Independiente del Valle
11 Oct
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Macara
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2
Macara
13 Sept
Macara
1 : 0
Emelec
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1
Macara
Page 1 of 6

U. Catolica

(Away)
18 Oct
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
U. Catolica
11 Oct
U. Catolica
0 : 1
Macara
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Orense
10 Sept
Astillero
0 : 1
U. Catolica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 32 25 2 5 75:35 77
2 Macara 33 18 6 9 45:34 60
3 LDU Quito 33 15 8 10 36:27 53
4 U. Catolica 33 14 10 9 53:31 52
5 Aucas 33 14 9 10 36:33 51
6 Barcelona SC 32 11 12 9 34:28 45
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)