Sport Picks
Macara vs U. Catolica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Viera M. In: Campana A. I.
Out: Viera M.
52'
52'
Clavijo E.
58'
58'
Sub
Tello M. In: Chamba T.
Out: Tello M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Macara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Macara lately — more wins on the board than U. Catolica.
- 49% — that's where the model lands on Macara taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Macara Clean Sheet 68%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Macara | U. Catolica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 11, 2026 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Macara
0:1
Aug 18, 2026 Liga Pro
Macara vs U. Catolica
1:1
Apr 24, 2026 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Macara
4:0
Jul 27, 2025 Liga Pro
Macara vs U. Catolica
1:4
Apr 6, 2025 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Macara
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Macara Compare
Top Goalscorer Campana A. I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
U. Catolica Compare
Top Goalscorer Clavijo E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Macara 50 / 100
U. Catolica 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Macara U. Catolica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Macara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Macara scored in 78% of their last 32 games.
U. Catolica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Macara stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Macara VS U. Catolica
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Macara
(Home) 17 Oct
Macara
1 : 0 Independiente del Valle
11 Oct
U. Catolica
0 : 1 Macara
19 Sept
Aucas
1 : 2 Macara
13 Sept
Macara
1 : 0 Emelec
05 Sept
Independiente del Valle
3 : 1 Macara
Page 1 of 7
17 Oct
Macara
1 : 0 Independiente del Valle
13 Sept
Macara
1 : 0 Emelec
02 Sept
Macara
4 : 3 Manta
20 Aug
Macara
0 : 0 Santos
18 Aug
Macara
1 : 1 U. Catolica
Page 1 of 3
U. Catolica
(Away) 11 Oct
U. Catolica
0 : 1 Macara
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1 U. Catolica
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1 Orense
10 Sept
Astillero
0 : 1 U. Catolica
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1 U. Catolica
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1 U. Catolica
10 Sept
Astillero
0 : 1 U. Catolica
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1 U. Catolica
29 Aug
Independiente del Valle
2 : 2 U. Catolica
18 Aug
Macara
1 : 1 U. Catolica
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | 21 |
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)
