Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Macarthur FC vs Auckland FC

Australia Australia

A-League 2025/2026 Campbelltown Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Brook L.
Assist: Sakai H.
46'
Sub
Bosnjak D. In: Rose L.
Out: Bosnjak D.
50'
De Vries F.

AI Match Summary

The A-League 2025/2026 game between Macarthur FC and Auckland FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Macarthur FC
44%
Draws
20%
Auckland FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Macarthur FC haven't matched Auckland FC's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Macarthur FC Clean Sheet 10%
Auckland FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macarthur FC Auckland FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 A-League
Auckland FC vs Macarthur FC
1:2
Jan 5, 2026 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Auckland FC
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 A-League
Auckland FC vs Macarthur FC
2:1
Nov 24, 2024 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Auckland FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macarthur FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Uskok T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Auckland FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Brook L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macarthur FC 34 / 100
Auckland FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macarthur FC Auckland FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macarthur FC scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Auckland FC let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Solid form: Macarthur FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Macarthur FC VS Auckland FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Newcastle Jets26153855:3948
2Adelaide Utd26127746:3643
3Auckland FC26119642:2942
4Melbourne Victory26117844:3340
5Sydney FC26116933:2539
6Melbourne City26108833:3338
7Macarthur FC26971037:4434
8Wellington Phoenix26961136:4833
9Central Coast26881035:4232
10Perth Glory26871132:3931
11Brisbane Roar26681227:3626
12Western Sydney Wanderers26561527:4321