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Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

A-League Campbelltown Stadium, Sydney
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
04:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Macarthur FC host Brisbane Roar in the A-League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Macarthur FC have averaged 1.53 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Brisbane Roar's 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded. Head-to-head, Macarthur FC have won 3 to Brisbane Roar's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 19, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.75) point toward Macarthur FC. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Macarthur FC
15%
Draws
34%
Brisbane Roar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Macarthur FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Macarthur FC come out ahead of Brisbane Roar on wins alone.
  • Model gives Macarthur FC a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular A-League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Macarthur FC Clean Sheet 12%
Brisbane Roar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macarthur FC Brisbane Roar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.53 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 19, 2025 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar
2:1
Oct 17, 2025 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Macarthur FC
1:0
Apr 4, 2025 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Macarthur FC
1:5
Nov 30, 2024 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar
4:4
Mar 16, 2024 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Macarthur FC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macarthur FC 83 / 100
Brisbane Roar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macarthur FC Brisbane Roar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macarthur FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Macarthur FC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Brisbane Roar has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Macarthur FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Macarthur FC VS Brisbane Roar
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Macarthur FC

(Home)
17 Oct
Macarthur FC
2 : 1
Perth Glory
22 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 : 0
Macarthur FC
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1
Macarthur FC
22 Jul
Azzurri United
0 : 3
Macarthur FC
24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0
Wellington Phoenix
Page 1 of 6

Brisbane Roar

(Away)
11 Oct
Brisbane Roar
3 : 1
Broadmeadow Magic FC
04 Sept
Olympic FC
3 : 4
Brisbane Roar
29 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
27 Aug
Dewa United
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
09 Aug
Brisbane Roar
2 : 4
Sydney FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland FC 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Wellington Phoenix 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Macarthur FC 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Central Coast 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
5 Newcastle Jets 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
6 Sydney FC 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Western Sydney Wanderers 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Adelaide Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Brisbane Roar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Perth Glory 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Melbourne Victory 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
12 Melbourne City 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)