Sport Picks
Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Macarthur FC host Brisbane Roar in the A-League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Macarthur FC have averaged 1.53 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Brisbane Roar's 1.4 scored and 1.7 conceded. Head-to-head, Macarthur FC have won 3 to Brisbane Roar's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 19, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.75) point toward Macarthur FC. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Macarthur FC come out ahead of Brisbane Roar on wins alone.
- Model gives Macarthur FC a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular A-League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Macarthur FC | Brisbane Roar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Macarthur FC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Brisbane Roar has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Macarthur FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Macarthur FC
(Home)Brisbane Roar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Macarthur FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Central Coast | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 5 | Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 7 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 8 | Adelaide Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Brisbane Roar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 | Melbourne Victory | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Melbourne City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |