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Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory

Australia Australia

A-League 2025/2026 Campbelltown Stadium, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Brattan L.
36' Event
Pennington N.
Assist: De Abreu G.
46'
Sub
Grzan S. In: Ikonomidis C.
Out: Grzan S.

AI Match Summary

The A-League 2025/2026 game between Macarthur FC and Perth Glory finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Macarthur FC
15%
Draws
53%
Perth Glory
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Perth Glory

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Perth Glory haven't matched Macarthur FC's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Macarthur FC Clean Sheet 10%
Perth Glory Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macarthur FC Perth Glory
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 A-League
Perth Glory vs Macarthur FC
3:1
Feb 6, 2026 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory
2:2
Nov 30, 2025 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory
0:2
Dec 27, 2024 A-League
Perth Glory vs Macarthur FC
0:3
Oct 20, 2024 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macarthur FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Duke M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Talbot C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Perth Glory Compare

Top Goalscorer Pennington N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colakovski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macarthur FC 34 / 100
Perth Glory 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macarthur FC Perth Glory

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perth Glory Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perth Glory's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Macarthur FC scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Macarthur FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Macarthur FC VS Perth Glory
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Macarthur FC

(Home)
22 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 : 0
Macarthur FC
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1
Macarthur FC
22 Jul
Azzurri United
0 : 3
Macarthur FC
24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0
Wellington Phoenix
19 Apr
Adelaide Utd
3 : 1
Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 7

Perth Glory

(Away)
27 Sept
Perth Glory
2 : 0
Adelaide Utd
21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1
Perth Glory
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1
Brisbane Roar
18 Apr
Sydney FC
0 : 0
Perth Glory
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1
Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Jets 26 15 3 8 55:39 48
2 Adelaide Utd 26 12 7 7 46:36 43
3 Auckland FC 26 11 9 6 42:29 42
4 Melbourne Victory 26 11 7 8 44:33 40
5 Sydney FC 26 11 6 9 33:25 39
6 Melbourne City 26 10 8 8 33:33 38
7 Macarthur FC 26 9 7 10 37:44 34
8 Wellington Phoenix 26 9 6 11 36:48 33
9 Central Coast 26 8 8 10 35:42 32
10 Perth Glory 26 8 7 11 32:39 31
11 Brisbane Roar 26 6 8 12 27:36 26
12 Western Sydney Wanderers 26 5 6 15 27:43 21
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)