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Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory

Australia Australia

A-League Campbelltown Stadium, Sydney
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Macarthur FC host Perth Glory in the A-League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Macarthur FC at 1.25 goals for, 2.5 against; Perth Glory at 1.13 for, 1.63 against. Past meetings favor Macarthur FC slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.81) point toward Macarthur FC. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Macarthur FC
28%
Draws
22%
Perth Glory
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Macarthur FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Macarthur FC come out ahead of Perth Glory on wins alone.
  • Macarthur FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Macarthur FC Clean Sheet 11%
Perth Glory Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macarthur FC Perth Glory
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 A-League
Perth Glory vs Macarthur FC
3:1
Feb 6, 2026 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory
2:2
Nov 30, 2025 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory
0:2
Dec 27, 2024 A-League
Perth Glory vs Macarthur FC
0:3
Oct 20, 2024 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Perth Glory
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macarthur FC 47 / 100
Perth Glory 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macarthur FC Perth Glory

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perth Glory's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Macarthur FC's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Solid form: Macarthur FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Macarthur FC VS Perth Glory
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Macarthur FC

(Home)
22 Jul
Azzurri United
0 : 3
Macarthur FC
24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0
Wellington Phoenix
19 Apr
Adelaide Utd
3 : 1
Macarthur FC
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1
Macarthur FC
02 Apr
Macarthur FC
3 : 2
Newcastle Jets
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Perth Glory

(Away)
21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1
Perth Glory
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1
Brisbane Roar
18 Apr
Sydney FC
0 : 0
Perth Glory
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1
Macarthur FC
04 Apr
Central Coast
2 : 2
Perth Glory
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Utd00000:00
2Central Coast00000:00
3Newcastle Jets00000:00
4Perth Glory00000:00
5Brisbane Roar00000:00
6Sydney FC00000:00
7Wellington Phoenix00000:00
8Melbourne Victory00000:00
9Melbourne City00000:00
10Western Sydney Wanderers00000:00
11Macarthur FC00000:00
12Auckland FC00000:00
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs)