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Macarthur FC vs Sydney FC

Australia Australia

A-League Campbelltown Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Okon-Engstler P.
31' Event
Quispe Cordova P. A.
Assist: Grant R.
46'
Sub
Tisserand M. In: Popovic A.
Out: Tisserand M.

AI Match Summary

Macarthur FC host Sydney FC in the A-League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Macarthur FC at 1.63 goals for, 2.5 against; Sydney FC at 1 for, 0.88 against. Head-to-head, Macarthur FC have won 1 to Sydney FC's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.75, favoring Sydney FC. Sydney FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Macarthur FC
40%
Draws
29%
Sydney FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sydney FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Macarthur FC.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in A-League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Macarthur FC Clean Sheet 12%
Sydney FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macarthur FC Sydney FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 2.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Sydney FC
0:3
Nov 9, 2025 A-League
Sydney FC vs Macarthur FC
2:0
Mar 1, 2025 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Sydney FC
0:2
Nov 10, 2024 A-League
Sydney FC vs Macarthur FC
1:2
May 4, 2024 A-League
Sydney FC vs Macarthur FC
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macarthur FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sydney FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Quispe Cordova P. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campuzano V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macarthur FC 30 / 100
Sydney FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macarthur FC Sydney FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macarthur FC scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Sydney FC let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Macarthur FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sydney FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Macarthur FC VS Sydney FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Newcastle Jets26153855:3948
2Adelaide Utd26127746:3643
3Auckland FC26119642:2942
4Melbourne Victory26117844:3340
5Sydney FC26116933:2539
6Melbourne City26108833:3338
7Macarthur FC26971037:4434
8Wellington Phoenix26961136:4833
9Central Coast26881035:4232
10Perth Glory26871132:3931
11Brisbane Roar26681227:3626
12Western Sydney Wanderers26561527:4321