Sport Picks
Macarthur FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers
Australia
A-League 2025/2026 Campbelltown Stadium, Sydney 
Match Events
6'
6'
Ugarkovic S.
14'
14'
Thurgate A.
24'
24'
Kraev B.
Assist: Borrello B.
AI Match Summary
The A-League 2025/2026 game between Macarthur FC and Western Sydney Wanderers finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Western Sydney Wanderers.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Western Sydney Wanderers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Western Sydney Wanderers haven't matched Macarthur FC's recent run of results.
- Model gives Western Sydney Wanderers a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular A-League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Macarthur FC Clean Sheet 14%
Western Sydney Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Macarthur FC | Western Sydney Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.65 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Macarthur FC
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers
0:4
Jan 1, 2026 A-League
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Macarthur FC
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers
1:1
May 3, 2025 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Macarthur FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Western Sydney Wanderers Compare
Top Goalscorer Ugarkovic S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kraev B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Macarthur FC 27 / 100
Western Sydney Wanderers 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Macarthur FC Western Sydney Wanderers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Western Sydney Wanderers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Macarthur FC's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Western Sydney Wanderers has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Macarthur FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Macarthur FC VS Western Sydney Wanderers
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Macarthur FC
(Home) 22 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 : 0 Macarthur FC
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1 Macarthur FC
22 Jul
Azzurri United
0 : 3 Macarthur FC
24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0 Wellington Phoenix
19 Apr
Adelaide Utd
3 : 1 Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 7
24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0 Wellington Phoenix
02 Apr
Macarthur FC
3 : 2 Newcastle Jets
04 Mar
Macarthur FC
1 : 3 Central Coast
28 Feb
Macarthur FC
0 : 4 Western Sydney Wanderers
19 Feb
Macarthur FC
2 : 2 Bangkok Utd
Page 1 of 3
Western Sydney Wanderers
(Away) 26 Sept
Western Sydney Wanderers
5 : 1 Central Coast
19 Sept
Auckland FC
1 : 3 Western Sydney Wanderers
22 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 : 0 Macarthur FC
08 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 : 2 Melbourne Victory
28 Jul
Chelsea
6 : 4 Western Sydney Wanderers
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Auckland FC
1 : 3 Western Sydney Wanderers
28 Jul
Chelsea
6 : 4 Western Sydney Wanderers
22 Jul
Tigers FC
0 : 2 Western Sydney Wanderers
18 Apr
Wellington Phoenix
2 : 1 Western Sydney Wanderers
04 Apr
Melbourne City
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide Utd | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | 21 |
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
