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Macarthur FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers

Australia Australia

A-League Campbelltown Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ugarkovic S.
14'
Thurgate A.
24' Event
Kraev B.
Assist: Borrello B.

AI Match Summary

The A-League game between Macarthur FC and Western Sydney Wanderers finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Western Sydney Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Macarthur FC
6%
Draws
4%
Western Sydney Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Macarthur FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Western Sydney Wanderers haven't matched Macarthur FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Macarthur FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular A-League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Macarthur FC Clean Sheet 10%
Western Sydney Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macarthur FC Western Sydney Wanderers
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers
0:4
Jan 1, 2026 A-League
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Macarthur FC
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers
1:1
May 3, 2025 A-League
Macarthur FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers
1:3
Feb 16, 2025 A-League
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Macarthur FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macarthur FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Western Sydney Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Ugarkovic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kraev B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macarthur FC 83 / 100
Western Sydney Wanderers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macarthur FC Western Sydney Wanderers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Western Sydney Wanderers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Western Sydney Wanderers registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Macarthur FC scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Macarthur FC VS Western Sydney Wanderers
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Newcastle Jets26153855:3948
2Adelaide Utd26127746:3643
3Auckland FC26119642:2942
4Melbourne Victory26117844:3340
5Sydney FC26116933:2539
6Melbourne City26108833:3338
7Macarthur FC26971037:4434
8Wellington Phoenix26961136:4833
9Central Coast26881035:4232
10Perth Glory26871132:3931
11Brisbane Roar26681227:3626
12Western Sydney Wanderers26561527:4321