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Macarthur Rams vs Bankstown City Lions FC

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Esposito J.
Own Goal
74' Event
Martin M.

AI Match Summary

The NSW League One game between Macarthur Rams and Bankstown City Lions FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Macarthur Rams
15%
Draws
53%
Bankstown City Lions FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bankstown City Lions FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bankstown City Lions FC come out ahead of Macarthur Rams on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bankstown City Lions FC a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NSW League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Macarthur Rams Clean Sheet 15%
Bankstown City Lions FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macarthur Rams Bankstown City Lions FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.33 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Bankstown City Lions FC
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 NSW League One
Bankstown City Lions FC vs Macarthur Rams
1:0
May 31, 2025 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Bankstown City Lions FC
3:0
Feb 15, 2025 NSW League One
Bankstown City Lions FC vs Macarthur Rams
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 NSW League One
Bankstown City Lions FC vs Macarthur Rams
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macarthur Rams Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bankstown City Lions FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macarthur Rams 10 / 100
Bankstown City Lions FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macarthur Rams Bankstown City Lions FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bankstown City Lions FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macarthur Rams scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Bankstown City Lions FC has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Macarthur Rams has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Macarthur Rams VS Bankstown City Lions FC
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Macarthur Rams

(Home)
29 Aug
Canterbury Bankstown FC
3 : 2
Macarthur Rams
22 Aug
Northern Tigers
3 : 2
Macarthur Rams
15 Aug
Macarthur Rams
0 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
08 Aug
Dulwich Hill
1 : 2
Macarthur Rams
01 Aug
Bulls Academy
0 : 1
Macarthur Rams
Page 1 of 6

Bankstown City Lions FC

(Away)
29 Aug
Newcastle Jets U23
2 : 9
Bankstown City Lions FC
22 Aug
Bankstown City Lions FC
5 : 1
Prospect United
15 Aug
Inter Lions
2 : 0
Bankstown City Lions FC
08 Aug
Bankstown City Lions FC
2 : 0
Hurstville Zagreb
01 Aug
Hills United
2 : 2
Bankstown City Lions FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacktown Spartans 30 21 6 3 79:36 69
2 Northern Tigers 30 17 8 5 55:30 59
3 Bankstown City Lions FC 30 17 5 8 65:45 56
4 Canterbury Bankstown FC 30 15 6 9 71:53 51
5 Hills United 30 14 7 9 62:45 49
6 Macarthur Rams 30 14 6 10 40:36 48
7 Hakoah Sydney 30 10 11 9 55:52 41
8 Rydalmere Lions 30 11 8 11 43:46 41
9 Bulls Academy 30 11 5 14 52:50 38
10 Inter Lions 30 10 5 15 39:54 35
11 Hurstville Zagreb 30 9 6 15 42:55 33
12 Central Coast U23 30 8 7 15 46:67 31
13 Dulwich Hill 30 7 9 14 40:58 30
14 Newcastle Jets U23 30 6 11 13 55:73 29
15 Prospect United 30 4 14 12 33:52 26
16 Western City Rangers 30 6 6 18 37:62 24
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)