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Macarthur Rams vs Bankstown City Lions FC

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Esposito J.
Own Goal
74' Event
Martin M.

AI Match Summary

The NSW League One game between Macarthur Rams and Bankstown City Lions FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Macarthur Rams
33%
Draws
27%
Bankstown City Lions FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Macarthur Rams

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bankstown City Lions FC come out ahead of Macarthur Rams on wins alone.
  • Model gives Macarthur Rams a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NSW League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Macarthur Rams Clean Sheet 16%
Bankstown City Lions FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macarthur Rams Bankstown City Lions FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Bankstown City Lions FC
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 NSW League One
Bankstown City Lions FC vs Macarthur Rams
1:0
May 31, 2025 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Bankstown City Lions FC
3:0
Feb 15, 2025 NSW League One
Bankstown City Lions FC vs Macarthur Rams
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 NSW League One
Bankstown City Lions FC vs Macarthur Rams
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macarthur Rams Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bankstown City Lions FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macarthur Rams 39 / 100
Bankstown City Lions FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macarthur Rams Bankstown City Lions FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bankstown City Lions FC let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Macarthur Rams scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Macarthur Rams has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Macarthur Rams VS Bankstown City Lions FC
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Macarthur Rams

(Home)
25 Jul
Macarthur Rams
1 : 2
Hurstville Zagreb
17 Jul
Prospect United
1 : 2
Macarthur Rams
10 Jul
Macarthur Rams
1 : 1
Bankstown City Lions FC
04 Jul
Macarthur Rams
3 : 2
Inter Lions
27 Jun
Macarthur Rams
1 : 1
Hakoah Sydney
Page 1 of 6

Bankstown City Lions FC

(Away)
25 Jul
Bankstown City Lions FC
2 : 1
Canterbury Bankstown FC
18 Jul
Bulls Academy
0 : 5
Bankstown City Lions FC
10 Jul
Macarthur Rams
1 : 1
Bankstown City Lions FC
04 Jul
Bankstown City Lions FC
2 : 2
Dulwich Hill
27 Jun
Western City Rangers
2 : 3
Bankstown City Lions FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacktown Spartans25175363:3156
2Northern Tigers25137543:2546
3Bankstown City Lions FC25144747:3846
4Macarthur Rams25126733:2742
5Canterbury Bankstown FC25125858:4141
6Rydalmere Lions25107837:3537
7Bulls Academy251131147:4036
8Hills United25106943:4136
9Hakoah Sydney2589842:4033
10Hurstville Zagreb25961039:4033
11Central Coast U2325761241:5027
12Newcastle Jets U2325681147:5626
13Dulwich Hill25681131:4726
14Inter Lions25751330:4726
15Prospect United252131024:4419
16Western City Rangers25541629:5219
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)