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Macarthur Rams vs Blacktown Spartans

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Kyra A.
41'
Kekeris P.
46' Event
Kyra A.

AI Match Summary

The NSW League One game between Macarthur Rams and Blacktown Spartans finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blacktown Spartans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Macarthur Rams
15%
Draws
53%
Blacktown Spartans
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blacktown Spartans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Macarthur Rams haven't matched Blacktown Spartans's recent run of results.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Blacktown Spartans taking it.
  • Regular NSW League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Blacktown Spartans here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Macarthur Rams Clean Sheet 10%
Blacktown Spartans Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macarthur Rams Blacktown Spartans
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 21
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.24 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Blacktown Spartans
0:2
May 1, 2026 NSW League One
Blacktown Spartans vs Macarthur Rams
0:1
Aug 8, 2025 NSW League One
Blacktown Spartans vs Macarthur Rams
3:0
Apr 26, 2025 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Blacktown Spartans
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Blacktown Spartans
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macarthur Rams Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Blacktown Spartans Compare

Top Goalscorer Kyra A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macarthur Rams 10 / 100
Blacktown Spartans 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macarthur Rams Blacktown Spartans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blacktown Spartans Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macarthur Rams scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Blacktown Spartans let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Macarthur Rams remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Macarthur Rams VS Blacktown Spartans
1.5 Goals Scored 3
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Macarthur Rams

(Home)
15 Aug
Macarthur Rams
0 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
08 Aug
Dulwich Hill
1 : 2
Macarthur Rams
01 Aug
Bulls Academy
0 : 1
Macarthur Rams
25 Jul
Macarthur Rams
1 : 2
Hurstville Zagreb
17 Jul
Prospect United
1 : 2
Macarthur Rams
Page 1 of 6

Blacktown Spartans

(Away)
15 Aug
Macarthur Rams
0 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
07 Aug
Blacktown Spartans
4 : 0
Inter Lions
31 Jul
Prospect United
1 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
25 Jul
Northern Tigers
0 : 3
Blacktown Spartans
18 Jul
Canterbury Bankstown FC
1 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacktown Spartans 29 21 5 3 77:34 68
2 Northern Tigers 29 16 8 5 52:30 56
3 Bankstown City Lions FC 29 16 5 8 56:43 53
4 Canterbury Bankstown FC 29 14 6 9 68:51 48
5 Macarthur Rams 29 14 6 9 38:33 48
6 Hills United 29 13 7 9 54:45 46
7 Hakoah Sydney 29 9 11 9 53:51 38
8 Rydalmere Lions 29 10 8 11 40:44 38
9 Bulls Academy 29 11 4 14 50:48 37
10 Inter Lions 29 10 5 14 38:52 35
11 Hurstville Zagreb 29 9 6 14 42:52 33
12 Central Coast U23 29 8 7 14 46:59 31
13 Dulwich Hill 29 7 9 13 38:55 30
14 Newcastle Jets U23 29 6 11 12 53:64 29
15 Western City Rangers 29 6 6 17 37:59 24
16 Prospect United 29 3 14 12 30:52 23
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)