Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Small J.
33'
33'
Hately M.
61'
61'
Yelchan C.
AI Match Summary
The NSW League One game between Macarthur Rams and Hills United finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hills United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
15%
58%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hills United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hills United's 2.07 goals per match outpaces what Macarthur Rams have produced (1.33).
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Hills United taking it.
- Regular NSW League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Macarthur Rams Clean Sheet 15%
Hills United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Macarthur Rams | Hills United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 13, 2026 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Hills United
2:3
Feb 28, 2026 NSW League One
Hills United vs Macarthur Rams
1:2
May 24, 2025 NSW League One
Hills United vs Macarthur Rams
0:1
Feb 8, 2025 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Hills United
0:2
Jul 8, 2023 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Hills United
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Macarthur Rams Compare
Top Goalscorer Yelchan C.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Hills United Compare
Top Goalscorer Small J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hately M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Macarthur Rams 10 / 100
Hills United 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Macarthur Rams Hills United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hills United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Macarthur Rams scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Hills United let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Macarthur Rams went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Macarthur Rams VS Hills United
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Macarthur Rams
(Home) 29 Aug
Canterbury Bankstown FC
3 : 2 Macarthur Rams
22 Aug
Northern Tigers
3 : 2 Macarthur Rams
15 Aug
Macarthur Rams
0 : 2 Blacktown Spartans
08 Aug
Dulwich Hill
1 : 2 Macarthur Rams
01 Aug
Bulls Academy
0 : 1 Macarthur Rams
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Macarthur Rams
0 : 2 Blacktown Spartans
25 Jul
Macarthur Rams
1 : 2 Hurstville Zagreb
10 Jul
Macarthur Rams
1 : 1 Bankstown City Lions FC
04 Jul
Macarthur Rams
3 : 2 Inter Lions
27 Jun
Macarthur Rams
1 : 1 Hakoah Sydney
Page 1 of 3
Hills United
(Away) 29 Aug
Hills United
8 : 0 Central Coast U23
22 Aug
Hills United
3 : 1 Rydalmere Lions
15 Aug
Western City Rangers
1 : 2 Hills United
08 Aug
Hills United
4 : 0 Canterbury Bankstown FC
01 Aug
Hills United
2 : 2 Bankstown City Lions FC
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Western City Rangers
1 : 2 Hills United
25 Jul
Newcastle Jets U23
2 : 1 Hills United
11 Jul
Inter Lions
2 : 2 Hills United
27 Jun
Hurstville Zagreb
2 : 1 Hills United
13 Jun
Macarthur Rams
2 : 3 Hills United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 79:36 | 69 |
| 2 | Northern Tigers | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 55:30 | 59 |
| 3 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 65:45 | 56 |
| 4 | Canterbury Bankstown FC | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 71:53 | 51 |
| 5 | Hills United | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 62:45 | 49 |
| 6 | Macarthur Rams | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 40:36 | 48 |
| 7 | Hakoah Sydney | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 55:52 | 41 |
| 8 | Rydalmere Lions | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43:46 | 41 |
| 9 | Bulls Academy | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 52:50 | 38 |
| 10 | Inter Lions | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 39:54 | 35 |
| 11 | Hurstville Zagreb | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 42:55 | 33 |
| 12 | Central Coast U23 | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 46:67 | 31 |
| 13 | Dulwich Hill | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 40:58 | 30 |
| 14 | Newcastle Jets U23 | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 55:73 | 29 |
| 15 | Prospect United | 30 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 33:52 | 26 |
| 16 | Western City Rangers | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 37:62 | 24 |
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)
