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Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem

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Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Bnei Raina play Hapoel Kfar Shalem in the State Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Maccabi Bnei Raina averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Hapoel Kfar Shalem averaged 1.87 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Maccabi Bnei Raina won 2, Hapoel Kfar Shalem won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 26, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Maccabi Bnei Raina and 1.44 for Hapoel Kfar Shalem. This points to a Hapoel Kfar Shalem double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Maccabi Bnei Raina
15%
Draws
45%
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Maccabi Bnei Raina picked up more points recently compared to Hapoel Kfar Shalem.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Maccabi Bnei Raina Clean Sheet 16%
Hapoel Kfar Shalem Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Bnei Raina Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 26, 2025 State Cup
Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1:0
Dec 26, 2024 State Cup
Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Bnei Raina Compare

Top Goalscorer Pius J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Hapoel Kfar Shalem Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Bnei Raina 39 / 100
Hapoel Kfar Shalem 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Bnei Raina Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hapoel Kfar Shalem or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Maccabi Bnei Raina attacking → ← attacking Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Bnei Raina scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Hapoel Kfar Shalem let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Maccabi Bnei Raina went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Hapoel Kfar Shalem lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 42
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38