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Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Bnei Raina

Israel Israel

Toto Cup 2025 Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Mohamed A.
34'
Pejic A.
42'
Kassa L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Maccabi Bnei Raina advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Maccabi Haifa
6%
Draws
4%
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Maccabi Haifa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maccabi Haifa come out ahead of Maccabi Bnei Raina on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Maccabi Haifa taking it.
  • Maccabi Haifa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Maccabi Haifa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Maccabi Haifa Clean Sheet 20%
Maccabi Bnei Raina Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Bnei Raina
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.38 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Maccabi Haifa
0:4
Aug 23, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
4:0
Aug 17, 2025 Toto Cup
Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
0:2
Jan 2, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
2:0
Sep 14, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Maccabi Haifa
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Haifa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Maccabi Bnei Raina Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaker M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Haifa 85 / 100
Maccabi Bnei Raina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Bnei Raina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Bnei Raina let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Maccabi Haifa went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Maccabi Haifa found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Haifa VS Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.38 Goals Scored 0.67
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.17
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 17%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Haifa

(Home)
14 Jul
Kiryat Yam
0 : 2
Maccabi Haifa
08 Jul
Maccabi Haifa
3 : 3
Paks
04 Jul
Dundee FC
1 : 2
Maccabi Haifa
23 May
H. Beer Sheva
2 : 5
Maccabi Haifa
19 May
Maccabi Haifa
4 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6

Maccabi Bnei Raina

(Away)
18 May
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1 : 4
Netanya
13 May
Ironi Tiberias
1 : 0
Maccabi Bnei Raina
09 May
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1 : 1
Shmona
04 May
Sakhnin
0 : 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina
29 Apr
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0 : 1
Hapoel Jerusalem
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

5th place
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
Hapoel Jerusalem1
Maccabi Haifa0
Maccabi Bnei Raina2
Netanya1
Shmona0
Hapoel Petah Tikva3
Ironi Tiberias2
SC Ashdod2
Sakhnin3