Sport Picks

Israel

Liga Alef North

Hapoel Karmiel

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad host Hapoel Karmiel in the Liga Alef North. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad have averaged 0.13 scored and 0.25 conceded recently, against Hapoel Karmiel's 0.13 scored and 0.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad have won 0 to Hapoel Karmiel's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 20, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.19 vs 0.19, favoring Hapoel Karmiel. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad

20%

Draws

38%

Hapoel Karmiel

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Hapoel Karmiel come out ahead of Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad on wins alone.
42% — that's where the model lands on Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad taking it.
Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad Clean Sheet 20%

Hapoel Karmiel Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	Hapoel Karmiel
Matches Played	19	21
Wins	4	9
Draws	4	4
Losses	11	8
Goals Scored	0.13	0.13
Goals Conceded	0.25	0.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.13	0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.25	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Liga Alef North

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad vs Hapoel Karmiel

0:0

Dec 5, 2025 Liga Alef North

Hapoel Karmiel vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad

2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad 42 / 100

Hapoel Karmiel 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad Hapoel Karmiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Hapoel Karmiel's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad scored in 53% of their last 19 games.

Defensive concern: Hapoel Karmiel conceded in 57% of 21 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad VS Hapoel Karmiel

0.13 Goals Scored 0.13

0.25 Goals Conceded 0.25

13% Over 1.5 13%

13% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History