Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Afula

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026 HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Elimelech E.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League 2025/2026 game between Maccabi Petah Tikva and Hapoel Afula finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hapoel Afula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
44%
Draws
20%
Hapoel Afula
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Maccabi Petah Tikva and Hapoel Afula have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Maccabi Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 19%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Petah Tikva Hapoel Afula
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Leumit League
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Afula
0:1
Oct 24, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
2:3
Jan 27, 2023 Leumit League
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Afula
2:1
Sep 30, 2022 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
2:1
Feb 7, 2020 Leumit League
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Afula
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Petah Tikva Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hapoel Afula Compare

Top Goalscorer Elimelech E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Petah Tikva 36 / 100
Hapoel Afula 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Petah Tikva Hapoel Afula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Petah Tikva found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Hapoel Afula's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Maccabi Petah Tikva has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Petah Tikva VS Hapoel Afula
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Petah Tikva

(Home)
29 Jul
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1 : 2
Netanya
25 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0
Maccabi Petah Tikva
25 May
Kiryat Yam
0 : 0
Maccabi Petah Tikva
20 May
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 2
Yehuda
15 May
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Afula

(Away)
18 Jul
Hapoel Afula
3 : 2
Dobrudzha
25 May
Hapoel Afula
2 : 0
MS Kafr Qasim
19 May
Maccabi Jaffa
4 : 1
Hapoel Afula
15 May
Hapoel Afula
2 : 1
Nof Hagalil
08 May
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Hapoel Afula
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Petah Tikva30179467:3260
2M. Herzliya30148845:3550
3Hapoel Ramat Gan30147948:3649
4H. Ironi Rishon30139843:3348
5Hapoel Kfar Shalem30138951:4747
6Yehuda301281034:3744
7Kiryat Yam301371043:3742
8Hapoel Kfar Saba301181138:3941
9H. Raanana301081229:3638
10Maccabi Jaffa301071350:5037
11Hapoel Afula30991232:4836
12MS Kafr Qasim308101234:3934
13Nof Hagalil306141037:4532
14Ironi Modiin30881430:4132
15Hapoel Akko306131132:4231
16Hapoel Hadera304111532:4823
Promotion - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)