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Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias Prediction & H2H Stats

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Gbamble N.
Assist: Joulani D.
27'
Cohen B.
46'
Sub
Gbamble N. In: Cohen A.
Out: Gbamble N.

AI Match Summary

The Ligat ha'Al game between Maccabi Petah Tikva and Ironi Tiberias finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ironi Tiberias.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
15%
Draws
46%
Ironi Tiberias
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ironi Tiberias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Ironi Tiberias have managed 1.43 goals a game lately — Maccabi Petah Tikva are scoring more at 1.66.
  • Model gives Maccabi Petah Tikva a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Maccabi Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 20%
Ironi Tiberias Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Petah Tikva Ironi Tiberias
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias
1:2
Aug 15, 2026 Toto Cup
Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
0:3
May 10, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
0:0
Feb 8, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Ironi Tiberias vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Ironi Tiberias
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Petah Tikva Compare

Top Goalscorer Cortes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ironi Tiberias Compare

Top Goalscorer Gbamble N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cohen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Petah Tikva 85 / 100
Ironi Tiberias 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Petah Tikva Ironi Tiberias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Petah Tikva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Petah Tikva found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Ironi Tiberias has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Maccabi Petah Tikva has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Petah Tikva VS Ironi Tiberias
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Petah Tikva

(Home)
19 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 4
Hapoel Jerusalem
15 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
05 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
29 Aug
Sakhnin
1 : 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
22 Aug
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 1
Shmona
Page 1 of 6

Ironi Tiberias

(Away)
19 Sept
Maccabi Haifa
3 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
29 Aug
Shmona
2 : 0
Ironi Tiberias
22 Aug
Ironi Tiberias
1 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 5 5 0 0 18:6 15
2 Maccabi Haifa 5 4 0 1 12:7 12
3 Hapoel Tel Aviv 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
4 H. Beer Sheva 5 3 1 1 8:7 10
5 Beitar Jerusalem 5 3 0 2 7:9 9
6 Hapoel Jerusalem 5 2 1 2 12:12 7
7 Hapoel Haifa 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
8 Maccabi Petah Tikva 5 2 0 3 8:11 6
9 Netanya 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
10 Sakhnin 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
11 Hapoel Ramat Gan 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
12 Shmona 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
13 Hapoel Petah Tikva 5 1 0 4 2:8 3
14 Ironi Tiberias 5 2 1 2 7:8 1
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)