Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Petah Tikva vs M. Herzliya

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026 HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Barzilay O.
45' Event
Yehoshua N.
84'
Aponza W.

AI Match Summary

M. Herzliya in this Leumit League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored M. Herzliya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
20%
Draws
36%
M. Herzliya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maccabi Petah Tikva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Maccabi Petah Tikva at 1.66 per game, M. Herzliya at 1.24.
  • Win probability leans Maccabi Petah Tikva's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Maccabi Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 20%
M. Herzliya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Petah Tikva M. Herzliya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.66 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Leumit League
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs M. Herzliya
1:2
Apr 14, 2026 Leumit League
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs M. Herzliya
1:1
Dec 8, 2025 Leumit League
M. Herzliya vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
3:1
May 17, 2013 Leumit League
M. Herzliya vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
1:1
Feb 15, 2013 Leumit League
M. Herzliya vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Petah Tikva Compare

Top Goalscorer Yehoshua N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

M. Herzliya Compare

Top Goalscorer Barzilay O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shifman P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Petah Tikva 49 / 100
M. Herzliya 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Petah Tikva M. Herzliya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Petah Tikva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

M. Herzliya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Maccabi Petah Tikva's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Maccabi Petah Tikva went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Petah Tikva VS M. Herzliya
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maccabi Petah Tikva

(Home)
19 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 4
Hapoel Jerusalem
15 Sept
Beitar Jerusalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
05 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
29 Aug
Sakhnin
1 : 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
22 Aug
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 1
Shmona
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M. Herzliya

(Away)
24 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 3
Kiryat Yam
17 Sept
Yehuda
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
14 Sept
M. Herzliya
1 : 0
MS Kafr Qasim
07 Sept
Kiryat Gat
1 : 1
M. Herzliya
30 Aug
M. Herzliya
0 : 2
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Petah Tikva 37 18 13 6 77:42 67
2 Hapoel Ramat Gan 37 18 10 9 59:41 64
3 M. Herzliya 37 17 11 9 55:44 62
4 Yehuda 37 15 12 10 46:44 57
5 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 37 16 8 13 67:63 56
6 Kiryat Yam 37 15 9 13 48:43 50
7 Hapoel Kfar Saba 37 13 11 13 52:50 50
8 H. Ironi Rishon 37 13 10 14 50:54 49
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