Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Bloomfield Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Peretz D.
Assist: Shahar I.
35'
Coco M.
40'
Asante T.

AI Match Summary

The Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 game between Maccabi Tel Aviv and Hapoel Tel Aviv finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
20%
Draws
38%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maccabi Tel Aviv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 18%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maccabi Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:0
Jan 26, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:2
Jan 14, 2026 State Cup
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maccabi Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Peretz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hapoel Tel Aviv Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maccabi Tel Aviv 41 / 100
Hapoel Tel Aviv 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maccabi Tel Aviv Hapoel Tel Aviv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maccabi Tel Aviv's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Maccabi Tel Aviv went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Hapoel Tel Aviv conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Maccabi Tel Aviv VS Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1H. Beer Sheva36247579:3879
2Beitar Jerusalem362210478:4076
3Maccabi Tel Aviv36199872:4666
4Hapoel Tel Aviv361881055:3560
5Maccabi Haifa3615101166:4755
6Hapoel Petah Tikva369131448:5740