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Macclesfield vs Hereford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Osborne E.
16' Event
Skinner A.
(Penalty)
52' Event
Duffy L.

AI Match Summary

The National League North game between Macclesfield and Hereford finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hereford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Macclesfield
20%
Draws
33%
Hereford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Macclesfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Hereford haven't matched Macclesfield's recent run of results.
  • Macclesfield are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Macclesfield here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Macclesfield Clean Sheet 15%
Hereford Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macclesfield Hereford
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 19 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.66 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 National League North
Macclesfield vs Hereford
1:2
Mar 31, 2026 National League North
Hereford vs Macclesfield
0:2
Mar 21, 2026 National League North
Macclesfield vs Hereford
3:1
Feb 25, 2014 National League
Hereford vs Macclesfield
1:2
Oct 8, 2013 National League
Macclesfield vs Hereford
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Macclesfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Duffy L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Hereford Compare

Top Goalscorer Iwunze H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macclesfield 57 / 100
Hereford 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macclesfield Hereford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macclesfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macclesfield's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Hereford has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Macclesfield remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Macclesfield VS Hereford
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Macclesfield

(Home)
24 Oct
Macclesfield
1 : 2
Hereford
20 Oct
Anstey Nomads
0 : 3
Macclesfield
17 Oct
Macclesfield
1 : 1
Anstey Nomads
10 Oct
Macclesfield
4 : 3
South Shields
06 Oct
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 2
Macclesfield
Page 1 of 7

Hereford

(Away)
24 Oct
Macclesfield
1 : 2
Hereford
10 Oct
Hereford
0 : 1
Hednesford
26 Sept
Bedford
1 : 1
Hereford
19 Sept
Stafford
3 : 2
Hereford
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0
South Shields
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 12 8 2 2 24:7 26
2 Oxford City 12 7 3 2 22:8 24
3 Macclesfield 12 7 3 2 18:11 24
4 South Shields 12 7 2 3 21:18 23
5 King’s Lynn 13 6 3 4 22:16 21
6 Hednesford 13 6 3 4 23:19 21
7 Chester 12 6 2 4 15:12 20
8 Buxton 13 6 2 5 23:23 20
9 Bedford 12 6 1 5 16:16 19
10 Hebburn Town 13 5 4 4 18:23 19
11 Morecambe 12 5 2 5 18:12 17
12 Spalding United 12 5 2 5 14:11 17
13 Chorley 12 5 2 5 20:21 17
14 Worksop 13 5 2 6 15:20 17
15 Marine 12 5 1 6 14:13 16
16 Harborough 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
17 Scarborough Athletic 13 4 3 6 19:18 15
18 Merthyr Town 13 3 6 4 15:16 15
19 Radcliffe 13 5 0 8 16:21 15
20 Brackley 13 4 3 6 15:24 15
21 Telford 13 3 4 6 13:20 13
22 Darlington FC 13 3 2 8 17:24 11
23 Southport 13 2 4 7 13:23 10
24 Spennymoor 12 1 4 7 12:26 7
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