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Macedo de Cavaleiros vs SC Mirandela

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Macedo de Cavaleiros play SC Mirandela in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Macedo de Cavaleiros averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. SC Mirandela averaged 0.74 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. In past meetings, Macedo de Cavaleiros won 1, SC Mirandela won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 1, 2022 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Macedo de Cavaleiros and 1.11 for SC Mirandela. This points to a SC Mirandela double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Macedo de Cavaleiros
24%
Draws
53%
SC Mirandela
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: SC Mirandela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Macedo de Cavaleiros picked up more points recently compared to SC Mirandela.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 17%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
Macedo de Cavaleiros Clean Sheet 21%
SC Mirandela Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 44%
Second Half Goal 47%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Macedo de Cavaleiros SC Mirandela
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 3 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.6 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.09

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Macedo de Cavaleiros vs SC Mirandela
1:0
Apr 3, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Mirandela vs Macedo de Cavaleiros
1:1
Dec 19, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Macedo de Cavaleiros vs SC Mirandela
0:1
Aug 29, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Mirandela vs Macedo de Cavaleiros
1:0
Apr 22, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
Macedo de Cavaleiros vs SC Mirandela
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Macedo de Cavaleiros 25 / 100
SC Mirandela 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Macedo de Cavaleiros SC Mirandela

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Mirandela Win (2)
Secondary Pick SC Mirandela & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +26.1%
4.35
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Macedo de Cavaleiros attacking → ← attacking SC Mirandela

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macedo de Cavaleiros scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

SC Mirandela let in goals in 66% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Macedo de Cavaleiros went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

SC Mirandela lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 43
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88